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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 09 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The uneventful summer lull which is coming to an end soon has left its stigma on the newbuilding market, which has already been devastated by the g ...
Saturday, 05 September 20
INDIA WON'T KICK ITS COAL HABIT SO EASILY - HINDU BUSINESS LINE
India has traditionally considered itself lucky to have been endowed with abundant coal reserves, which it has sought to use to meet its energy nee ...
Saturday, 05 September 20
FINANCING COMPLETE FOR 900MW FIFTH PHASE OF MASSIVE DUBAI SOLAR PARK: ARABIAN BUSINESS
Saudi-based ACWA Power on Thursday announced it has completed the signing of all financing agreements for the fifth phase of the Mohammed bin Rashi ...
Saturday, 05 September 20
POLISH COAL DEMAND EXPECTED TO FALL BY 7 MLN TONNES NEXT YEAR: MINISTER - REUTERS
Poland’s demand for coal is expected to fall by around 7 million tonnes next year, or more than 10% of annual hard coal production, after a d ...
Saturday, 05 September 20
PAKISTAN'S NEW 27-YEAR POWER PLAN RISKS LOCKING IN LONG-TERM OVERCAPACITY, LEAVING IMPORTED COAL AND LNG PLANTS STRANDED - IEEFA
Wind and solar, the country’s cheapest source of new generation, also overlooked
Pakistan risks locking itself into building m ...
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- The University of Queensland
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- Planning Commission, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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- Australian Coal Association
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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