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Friday, 23 October 09
2010 WILL BE 'BRIDGE YEAR' FOR COAL - CONSOL CHIEF


Mining Weekly reported that, After a difficult 2009, 2010 will likely be a “bridge” year for the US coal industry, followed by improved conditions in 2011, Consol Energy CEO Brett Harvey said on Thursday.

Consol – the fourth-biggest coal producer in the US – saw earnings decline year-on-year in the third quarter because of lower coal volumes, and will continue to match production to the market, he said on a conference call.

“Our shareholders need to be aware that we are not going to mine this coal unless we have a place to put it - we are going to manage our inventories, we are not going to put ourselves in a distressed position,” Harvey said.

Consol reduced annual production levels twice this year, by a total of seven million tons, to 58-million tons.

Unfortunately, lower volumes have put pressure on costs, particularly for the company's metallurgical coal, he said.

The company will focus capital spending in 2010 on efficiency projects that are already under way, but will not add any new projects in the coal business.

“And we think 2010 is a bridge year to, I think, a tightened market, and a volume-constrained market, based on the financial capabilities of our competitors, as well as the pressure from the federal government and the state governments, for a new environmental push at a much higher threshold,” Harvey said.

On the thermal coal side, US demand will likely remain soft, given the high levels of stockpiles .

However, if and when demand improves, Consol will be in a position to boost its production levels.

The company does see “movement” in the metallurgical coal market, Harvey said.

Asian steel plants are now running at about 75% of capacity, while US plants are at around 60%, he said.

“And we see some upside there.”

Consol has locked in metallurgical coal sales for 2010 at around $114/t to $115/t, and does not expect to price any steelmaking coal next year below that level.

The company produces metallurgical coal from its Buchanan mine, in Virginia, which it restarted in July.

Longwall production at the mine was idled in March, in response to sharply lower demand from steel producers.

Harvey said that Consol has considered making acquisitions, but that it is still “a bit early” to move on its potential targets.

“There is still some pain in the coal business to come for people who are in poor financial positions,” he commented.

Consol shares slid 3,6% on Thursday, to $49,23 apiece by 12:48 in New York.

“Today’s results were well short of our expectations, though Consol’s outlook remains unchanged,” Dahlman Rose & Co analyst Daniel Scott said in a note.

“The potential for sales of the company’s top-quality metallurgical product to a firming steel industry are a major positive for the company.”
Source: Mining Weekly



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