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Tuesday, 12 May 20
A GLOBAL ECONOMIC RESTART HAS SLOWLY BEGUN AS COUNTRIES AROUND THE WORLD GRADUALLY - ALLIED
 A global economic restart has slowly begun as countries around the world gradually set their return back to “normality”. Yet by all measures it seems that we will be far from normality for some time at least as the scars of the pandemic lockdown seem to be severe across all industries and nations. It is no surprise therefore how must are predicting very poor global GDP figures for 2020 while holding very skeptical opinions for 2021, says Allied Shipping Research in its latest research report.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, the US and Europe have been two of the worst hit economies, while in respect to the size of these two economies the ripple effects across the globe as part of the drop in consumer spending that has taken place and that is expected to unfold over the coming months in these two major economies is expected to be considerable.
Even China which has already eased back measures for some time now is showing signs of struggling to regain its previous momentum. In the midst of all this poor market sentiment, the global commodities trade is starting to buckle under the strain. Some such as crude oil have been shaken by events far reaching the global pandemic (both in a positive as well as in a negative manner), while others are finding it difficult to regain a bullish foothold given their significant reliance on global investments and consumer spending patterns. Yet many in the shipping industry still hold for an optimistic scenario playing out whereby some of the “lost” trade is recuperated over the coming months, helping as such feed a momentary rally that could help counter some of the freight rate earnings that were incurred during Q1 and Q2 of 2020.
George Lazaridis further noted that, all this seems well and good but to what extent can we really depend on a strong rally taking shape over the coming months and to what extent can this really bring back a balance to the global freight markets?
The issue is that although it is a certainty that due to the major trade disruptions that have unfolded over the past months, we are sure to see increased volumes emerge as the global economy opens up for business once more. Yet at the same time, given the extent and length of the disruptions that have been seen and coupled with the strong dampening effect that has been pressed on to global consumption levels, we are likely to see a fair share of this past and pre-sent lost activity being lost forever. To what extent is surely hard to calculate right now because a whole lot depends on market sentiment and appetite for speculative trading. Yet even if we were able to see a double digit percentage share of March, April and May trading volumes being shifted over to the summer months, this would surely be enough to bring about a strong shift in freight markets to the owners’ favor.
Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping is also further said that, rates are still looking likely to climb by a fair bit and recover some of the “loses” incurred earlier on in the year (all this depending on the rolling back of lock down measures going smoothly and no resurgence in virus cases being noted). Yet it looks as though even with a positive rally taking place during Q3, the signs are troubling as to the potential prospects beyond that horizon. The final quarter of 2020 is likely to be considerably subdued, especially when compared to the typical seasonal patterns, while 2021 is looking ever more likely to at least start off on a fairly pessimistic note.
Given the drop in economic activity coupled with the sharp rise in unemployment figures in key economies, the road back to recovery is looking to be long and bumpy. It will likely take some time before we are able to recover from this shock, even when taking into consideration the vast amounts of support being provided by the likes of the FED, ECB and governments around the world George Lazaridis concluded.
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Tuesday, 18 February 20
CORONAVIRUS AND ITS IMPACT ON YOUR CONTRACT - CAN YOU RELY ON 'FORCE MAJEURE'? - INCE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
On 30 January 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared that the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (officially t ...
Monday, 17 February 20
IMO-2020 SULPHUR CAP - ISSUES TO CONSIDER PRIOR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CARRIAGE BAN ON 1 MARCH 2020 - STANDARD CLUB
With the IMO 2020 global sulphur cap now in force, members should bear in mind another significant date in relation to the ‘carriage ban&rsqu ...
Monday, 17 February 20
COVID-19: THE EFFECT OF THIS PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY ON CHARTERPARTY TERMS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Is it useful to compare the COVID-19 with earlier disease outbreaks?
A comparison with the Ebola outbreak ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - REUTERS
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
CHEN ZHIDA: NOVEL CORONAVIRUS - IMPLICATIONS FOR CHARTERPARTIES - SHIPOWNERS' CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Last month, the Club issued a bulletin on the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) which explained the origin of the virus a ...
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Economic Council, Georgia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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