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Tuesday, 12 May 20
A GLOBAL ECONOMIC RESTART HAS SLOWLY BEGUN AS COUNTRIES AROUND THE WORLD GRADUALLY - ALLIED
 A global economic restart has slowly begun as countries around the world gradually set their return back to “normality”. Yet by all measures it seems that we will be far from normality for some time at least as the scars of the pandemic lockdown seem to be severe across all industries and nations. It is no surprise therefore how must are predicting very poor global GDP figures for 2020 while holding very skeptical opinions for 2021, says Allied Shipping Research in its latest research report.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, the US and Europe have been two of the worst hit economies, while in respect to the size of these two economies the ripple effects across the globe as part of the drop in consumer spending that has taken place and that is expected to unfold over the coming months in these two major economies is expected to be considerable.
Even China which has already eased back measures for some time now is showing signs of struggling to regain its previous momentum. In the midst of all this poor market sentiment, the global commodities trade is starting to buckle under the strain. Some such as crude oil have been shaken by events far reaching the global pandemic (both in a positive as well as in a negative manner), while others are finding it difficult to regain a bullish foothold given their significant reliance on global investments and consumer spending patterns. Yet many in the shipping industry still hold for an optimistic scenario playing out whereby some of the “lost” trade is recuperated over the coming months, helping as such feed a momentary rally that could help counter some of the freight rate earnings that were incurred during Q1 and Q2 of 2020.
George Lazaridis further noted that, all this seems well and good but to what extent can we really depend on a strong rally taking shape over the coming months and to what extent can this really bring back a balance to the global freight markets?
The issue is that although it is a certainty that due to the major trade disruptions that have unfolded over the past months, we are sure to see increased volumes emerge as the global economy opens up for business once more. Yet at the same time, given the extent and length of the disruptions that have been seen and coupled with the strong dampening effect that has been pressed on to global consumption levels, we are likely to see a fair share of this past and pre-sent lost activity being lost forever. To what extent is surely hard to calculate right now because a whole lot depends on market sentiment and appetite for speculative trading. Yet even if we were able to see a double digit percentage share of March, April and May trading volumes being shifted over to the summer months, this would surely be enough to bring about a strong shift in freight markets to the owners’ favor.
Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping is also further said that, rates are still looking likely to climb by a fair bit and recover some of the “loses” incurred earlier on in the year (all this depending on the rolling back of lock down measures going smoothly and no resurgence in virus cases being noted). Yet it looks as though even with a positive rally taking place during Q3, the signs are troubling as to the potential prospects beyond that horizon. The final quarter of 2020 is likely to be considerably subdued, especially when compared to the typical seasonal patterns, while 2021 is looking ever more likely to at least start off on a fairly pessimistic note.
Given the drop in economic activity coupled with the sharp rise in unemployment figures in key economies, the road back to recovery is looking to be long and bumpy. It will likely take some time before we are able to recover from this shock, even when taking into consideration the vast amounts of support being provided by the likes of the FED, ECB and governments around the world George Lazaridis concluded.
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Friday, 27 March 20
CHINA'S BULKS: THE SENTIMENT GAP BETWEEN STEEL AND COAL WIDENS - WOOD MACKENZIE
China seems to be containing its local coronavirus situation, with imported cases now posing the greater threat. While quarantine measures remain t ...
Friday, 27 March 20
S.KOREA Q1 THERMAL COAL IMPORTS SET FOR 10-YR LOW ON ANTI-POLLUTION MEASURES - REUTERS
South Korea’s first-quarter thermal coal imports are set to fall to a decade-low due to stricter air pollution measures, while the coronaviru ...
Friday, 27 March 20
PORT OF NEWCASTLE OPERATIONS CONTINUE WITH COVID-19 RESPONSE MEASURES IN PLACE
Port of Newcastle, like many organisations, is taking a precautionary approach to help manage COVID-19 risks in the community. Our focus is on ensu ...
Thursday, 26 March 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE DROPS SLIGHTLY - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price dropped slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge ...
Wednesday, 25 March 20
CORONAVIRUS CRISIS IS CRUSHING GLOBAL GDP GROWTH - FITCH RATINGS
The coronavirus crisis is crushing global GDP growth according to Fitch Ratings in its latest quarterly “Global Economic Outlook” (GEO) ...
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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