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Tuesday, 21 April 20
INDONESIA ACCOUNTS FOR 19% OF JAPAN'S TOTAL COAL IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
 Coal trade in Asia is proving remarkably resilient this year, despite the global economic impact from COVID-19.
We have seen China’s coal imports surge by +14.1% year-on-year in the first quarter of this year. We have also seen India’s coal imports similarly surge by +7.1% year-on- year in the same period, said Banchero Costa in its latest weekly report.
Japan is another country which has increased its imports of coal this year, albeit perhaps not by the same magnitude as those other two countries. In the first 3 months of 2020, Japan imported 44.8 mln tonnes of coal, according to vessel tracking data from Refinitiv.
According to Banchero Costa, this represents a net increase of +3.4% y-o-y, compared to the 43.3 mln tonnes imported in the same three-month period of 2019, but down -3.4% from the 46.3 mln tonnes imported in 1Q 2018. On a single-month basis, January showed a +6.0% year-on-year increase to 15.7 mln tonnes, whilst February showed a +4.4% increase year-on-year to 14.3 mln tonnes, and March recorded a -0.2% year- on-year decline to 14.7 mln tonnes.
In April 2020 we could see arrivals as high as 15.2 mln tonnes, based on vessel tracking ETAs. This would be significantly higher than the low 13.1 mln tonnes of April 2019. Actual arrivals in the first 14 days April 2020 reached 6.8 mln tonnes. Of the arrivals in 1Q 2020, at least 18.0 mln tonnes were coking coal, and at least 23.6 mln tonnes were thermal coal, with 3.1 mln tonnes of unknown grade.
Coal imports to Japan are predominantly from Australia, which also this year accounts for 61% of Japan’s total.There have been some interesting shifts in trade patterns however. Shipments from Australia to Japan have been down by -1.5% y-o-y in 1Q 2020, to 27.3 mln tonnes, from 27.7 mln tonnes in the same period last year.
Banchero Costa further noted that, volumes from Indonesia to Japan, on the other hand, increased sharply by +27.0% y-o-y to 8.3 mln tonnes, from 6.5 mln tonnes in 1Q 2019. Indonesia now accounts for 19% of Japan’s total coal imports. Japan also boosted imports from Canada, which went up by +12.3% y-o-y to 3.5 mln tonnes in 1Q 2020.
Imports from Russia also increased by +9% year-on-year to 3.7 mln tonnes, edging above Canada. Imports from the USA continued to decline. Japan imported only 0.9 mln tonnes from the USA in the first quarter of 2020, down -46.3% year-on-year. This is also two-thirds down from the 2.5 mln tonnes recorded two years ago.
We should keep in mind however that all this is a rebound from a relatively poor 2019, and indeed from a negative trend seen already for a number of years, said Banchero Costa.
Banchero Costa further said, looking back at last year, Japan’s total imports reached 169.2 mln tonnes in the 12 months of 2019. This represents a decline of -4.5% y-o-y, compared to the 177.2 mln tonnes imported in the whole of 2018. This in turn was a -1.2% decline from the 179.3 mln tonnes of 2017.
One main trend seen in the past few years was towards diversification of suppliers. During the whole of 2019, imports from Australia to Japan declined by -7.2% y-o-y to 104.3 mln tonnes. Imports from Indonesia declined by -4.6% y-o-y in the whole of 2019 to 25.0 mln tonnes.
On the other hand, shipments from Canada increased by +13.5% y-o-y to 15.6 mln tonnes, and from Russia by +13.2% y-o-y to 14.4 mln tonnes.
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
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