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Tuesday, 31 March 20
DRY BULK: Q1 HAS BEEN THE WORST QUARTER NOTED FOR MORE THAN 3 YEARS NOW - ALLIED RESEARCH
 At this point, the Covid-19 pandemic seems to be monopolizing all market (as well as all other) discussions across the world and any market insight without some sort of mention would be a major disconnect with the current reality being faced. As of late, the “eye of the storm” of this pandemic is now firmly over Europe and the US (a very large share of the world’s largest economies), while it seems that we are ever further away from any end in sight right now, said Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst, Allied shipping Research in his last weekly report.
Allied research further said, putting the focus back on to the shipping industry, during the 1st quarter of the year the setback noted on the whole of the dry bulk market has been considerable in more ways than one. Just to begin with, it has been the worst quarter noted for more than 3 years now, with most indicators pointing to the fact now that the recovery cycle that has been taking place over the past 3 years may well have come to an abrupt end. More emphatically the any other size segment, it is of note that the Capesize market has seen a close to 80% reduction in its BCI 5TC -3month average figure as of now, reflecting in its most part, how problematic things have been for this size segment.
In terms of the other major size segments in the dry bulk market, Thomas Chasapis noted that, things don’t seem to have been as dramatic in terms of earnings, though we should point out the relative “clampdown” being noted in the second hand market for a while now, underlining the damaged sentiment that is currently being shared amongst most market participants and possibly pointing towards a further downward pressure in freight rates to be in sight in the near-term. At the same time and given that asset price levels (though taking note that we are witnessing limited activity right now) have yet to show any sharp correction, this deterioration in sentiment may well be limited. As to how long this could last remains to be seen, while given the shared opinion that is being expressed right now of a considerable market rally to be noted down the line (later in the year), we may well note a possibility that any such price correction, or at least any significant one, may well never arrive.
He further noted that, given that we are functioning under a tail risk event, things are even harder to “predict”. Yet it is worth noting that any major step back in the global economy would result in an equal or even more severe drop in seaborne trade as well. However, even if total annual traded volumes were to fall, the amassed volume of cargoes that will accrue from the extended period of business disruptions could create an asymmetrical distribution in earnings, that may prove to be enough to shift average annual earnings back to more “optimistic” levels. In other words, the rebound in the freight market during the latter part of the year could be equally impressive to the drop noted now. On the other hand, it is worth noting that there is a significant unknown as to the timing of this as well as to its extent.
Many in the shipping industry are coming face to face now with very difficult decisions for the upcoming period. As things stand they can either take the choice to remove some the risks they hold under these mediocre to poor market conditions being faced, or they could chose to push their credit and cash flow to their limits and take the long shot of a steep upward return they may or may not take place at some point down the line, Thomas Chasapis concluded.
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Saturday, 09 May 20
ANGLO AMERICAN CONSIDERS SPINNING OFF SOUTH AFRICAN COAL OPERATIONS - REUTERS
Diversified miner Anglo American said on Thursday it prefers unbundling and listing its thermal coal operations in South Africa on the Johannesburg ...
Friday, 08 May 20
THE COLLAPSE OF THE OIL AND BUNKER FUEL MARKETS IN EARLY 2020 - PETER SAND
The sulphur regulation from the International Maritime Organization (IMO) that came into force on 1 January 2020 took the centre stage in the shipp ...
Friday, 08 May 20
LNG DEMAND FACED SEVERAL HEADWINDS IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2020 - GASLOG
LNG demand faced several headwinds in the first quarter of 2020 including a warmer than average winter in the northern hemisphere, high inventory l ...
Thursday, 07 May 20
IEEFA UPDATE: THE OUTLOOK FOR THERMAL COAL IN SOUTHEAST ASIA AND SOUTH ASIA
Seven headwinds are building to sustained growth in coal in Asia
The medium term outlook for thermal coal in Southeast Asia is posit ...
Thursday, 07 May 20
IMO 2020: BUNKER CLAIMS HANDLING GUIDE FOR A NEW DECADE - THE STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
IMO 2020 is the term generally used to describe the following regulations under Annex VI of the International Convention ...
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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