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Friday, 20 March 20
OIL PRICES COULD FALL BELOW ZERO: ANALYST - FOX BUSINESS
Plunging oil prices could be headed a lot lower – possibly below zero, according to one Wall Street analyst.
West Texas Intermediate crude oil, the U.S. benchmark, fell by more than 10 percent Wednesday to near $24 a barrel, a level last seen in April 2002.
“Oil prices can go negative,” wrote Paul Sankey, managing director at Mizuho Securities.
The COVID-19 pandemic has brought the U.S. and global economy to a standstill by prompting “shelter in place” orders, social distancing between people and the cancellation of non-essential travel. The sharp slowdown in economic activity has curtailed the need for oil.
If that weren’t enough, Saudi Arabia recently slashed oil prices and raised output after Russia refused to join OPEC in deepening production cuts.
Oil is a 100 million barrel-per-day market, but Sankey says it’s possible that the economic fallout from the pandemic could zap demand, creating a 20 million barrel-per-day surplus.
He says the “physical reality” of the market is that oil is pumped out of the ground and has to be consumed or stored. When the cost of storage goes high enough — or space runs out — companies might pay customers to take it.
For now, President Trump has ordered the Department of Energy to take advantage of low prices by stepping into the market and buying oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
The reserve can build at 2 million barrels per day, meaning that it has four months until it’s at capacity, Sankey said.
By then, he added, high-cost oil from the Bakken shale formation in the U.S. or bitumen from the Canadian oil sands, “prices negatively because it exceeds needs” and requires storage, Sankey wrote. “Negative prices are simply a higher cost of storage than market.”
Sankey isn’t the only one on Wall Street who is sounding the alarm about the coming flood of oil.
Excess supply from OPEC and Russia, coupled with crumbling demand “are leading to concerns about a surplus that could overwhelm global storage,” wrote Francisco Blanch, a commodity strategist at Bank of America.
He warns the demand destruction caused by COVID-19 and the price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia could cause inventories to swell by 900 million barrels in the second quarter alone. He estimates the world currently has about 1.5 billion barrels of available storage.
Blanch’s worst-case scenario isn’t as dire as Sankey’s.
“In a severe scenario, if the market struggles to find a home for surplus barrels, then oil prices might have to trade down into the teens,” he wrote.
Source: Fox Business
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Monday, 09 March 20
OPEC+ 'NO DEAL' A BLOW TO THE MARKET - WOOD MACKENZIE
Speaking after today’s OPEC+ meeting broke up, Ann-Louise Hittle, vice president, Macro Oils, at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Today’s o ...
Monday, 09 March 20
KOREA EAST-WEST POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 150,000 MT OF MIN 4,400 - MAX 5,499 NAR COAL
COALspot.com: KOREA EAST-WEST POWER CO. LTD. of South Korea has issued an international tender for total 150,000 MT of LCV coal for May – Jun ...
Sunday, 08 March 20
SUPRAMAX: A 55,000DWT VESSEL FIXING DELIVERY FROM EAST KALIMANTAN FOR A TRIP TO VIETNAM AT $9,100 - BALTIC BRIEFING
SUPRAMAX/ULTRAMAX - A 56,000DWT VESSEL FIXED DELIVERY SOUTH CHINA TRIP VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY EAST COAST INDIA, IN THE $6,000S
SUPRAMAX/U ...
Friday, 06 March 20
CHINA RESUMES 83.4 PCT COAL PRODUCTION CAPACITY AMID EPIDEMIC - XINHUA
China has resumed 83.4 percent of its coal production capacity amid the fight against the novel coronavirus outbreak, the National Energy Administr ...
Friday, 06 March 20
COLOMBIAN COAL OUTPUT FELL 2% IN 2019 - REUTERS
Coal production in Colombia, the fifth-largest coal exporter in the world, fell 2% to 82.2 million tonnes in 2019 after output at one of the princi ...
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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