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Wednesday, 18 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Despite we all knew about the Covid-19 weeks ago, few could realize the size of the thread until the last few days. The examples of China and Italy weren’t enough to prepare us for what we would face. While strict measures are taken around the world in order to limit the spread of the virus, it is also crucial that each of us individually takes every precaution so that we can effectively face this invisible enemy. In light of this enemy, stock markets, trade and every business activity as we come to know it, have all started to collapse, affecting even more the global economy to new lows.
The shipping industry was inevitably affected as well. In the dry bulk market we have been experiencing a bad period since Q4 of 2019. The seasonal slowdown that started since Christmas and extended up to the end of the Chinese New Year along with the IMO regulations left no room for a strong Q1 in 2020. Initially, the virus outbreak reduced the trade and rates in the Far East. The collapse of the Capesize market was so severe though, that on 31st of January the index turned negative. BCI levels remained negative, reaching -355 points on 12/03/2020. The rest of the dry bulk indices kept facing pressure, while the BDI showed resistance just over the 400 point in the beginning of February.
Two weeks ago, the injection of fresh cargoes in the Atlantic coupled with a reported slowdown in new Covid-19 cases out of China resulted in a shy improvement of sentiment. Up until then, SnP activity followed a similar pattern and gave us glimpses of hope. The low indices reminded us a lot the period Q4 2015-Q1 2016. Asset values also began to decline, but by no means to the same extend they did in 2016.
Many buyers, especially in the Middle East and the West started to show interest for ships built 2005 onwards. Since the beginning of March we have also seen Far Eastern buyers showing interest for vintage Handysize loggers, Supramax and Panamax vessels with the majority of these buyers being Chinese. The quarantine regulations in some airports and ports worldwide led to huge difficulties for owners that wanted to arrange pre-purchase inspections, while delays were also observed in taking delivery of vessels. Naturally, many prospective buyers changed their mind and decided to wait until after there is more clarity regarding the current situation.
The last days’ events have significantly frozen buying interest since the negative sentiment widened and partly confirmed fears of further market declines and falling asset prices. Under the current circumstances, it seems that new buying opportunities will arise. Buyers still clearly have the upper hand since the supply of secondhand vessels is steadily higher and freight rates still shaky.
Despite the difficulties that every person encounters, we all have to keep moving forward. My wish to everyone is to remain strong and supportive towards their loved ones and we will come out of this much stronger. I would like to finish with one quote; “When it is dark enough, you can see the stars”, Charles A. Beard.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 15 February 20
AFRAMAX: A MORE POSITIVE ATTITUDE EXISTED IN THIS SECTOR WITH RATES IMPROVING ON ALL ROUTES - BALTIC BRIEFING
VLCC
The market in the Middle East was unmoved this week, with Chinese refiners continuing to slow imports, allied with the impact of the Coron ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
A 56,000DWT VESSEL WAS CONCLUDED BASIS DELIVERY SINGAPORE VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY CHINA IN THE LOW $6,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Riding the downward momentum of the previous week, the market was always going to be hard pressed to make any sort of revival. With mu ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION WILL TOTAL 595 MMST IN 2020, DOWN 14% FROM 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 595 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, down 95 MMst (14%) from 2019.
Lower ...
Friday, 14 February 20
WHY THE WORLD ECONOMY WILL BE FACING CHINA'S CORONAVIRUS FOR A LONG TIME - CNBC
Everywhere we look we see the headlines and commentators talking about the coronavirus and its impact on tourism, trade and investment between Chin ...
Friday, 14 February 20
KOWEPO INVITED BIDS FOR 1.275 MILLION TONS OF MIN. 5,600 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Western Power Co. Ltd (KOWEPO). as a representative of five Korean Gencos has issued an international tender for total 1,275,00 ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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