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Wednesday, 18 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Despite we all knew about the Covid-19 weeks ago, few could realize the size of the thread until the last few days. The examples of China and Italy weren’t enough to prepare us for what we would face. While strict measures are taken around the world in order to limit the spread of the virus, it is also crucial that each of us individually takes every precaution so that we can effectively face this invisible enemy. In light of this enemy, stock markets, trade and every business activity as we come to know it, have all started to collapse, affecting even more the global economy to new lows.
The shipping industry was inevitably affected as well. In the dry bulk market we have been experiencing a bad period since Q4 of 2019. The seasonal slowdown that started since Christmas and extended up to the end of the Chinese New Year along with the IMO regulations left no room for a strong Q1 in 2020. Initially, the virus outbreak reduced the trade and rates in the Far East. The collapse of the Capesize market was so severe though, that on 31st of January the index turned negative. BCI levels remained negative, reaching -355 points on 12/03/2020. The rest of the dry bulk indices kept facing pressure, while the BDI showed resistance just over the 400 point in the beginning of February.
Two weeks ago, the injection of fresh cargoes in the Atlantic coupled with a reported slowdown in new Covid-19 cases out of China resulted in a shy improvement of sentiment. Up until then, SnP activity followed a similar pattern and gave us glimpses of hope. The low indices reminded us a lot the period Q4 2015-Q1 2016. Asset values also began to decline, but by no means to the same extend they did in 2016.
Many buyers, especially in the Middle East and the West started to show interest for ships built 2005 onwards. Since the beginning of March we have also seen Far Eastern buyers showing interest for vintage Handysize loggers, Supramax and Panamax vessels with the majority of these buyers being Chinese. The quarantine regulations in some airports and ports worldwide led to huge difficulties for owners that wanted to arrange pre-purchase inspections, while delays were also observed in taking delivery of vessels. Naturally, many prospective buyers changed their mind and decided to wait until after there is more clarity regarding the current situation.
The last days’ events have significantly frozen buying interest since the negative sentiment widened and partly confirmed fears of further market declines and falling asset prices. Under the current circumstances, it seems that new buying opportunities will arise. Buyers still clearly have the upper hand since the supply of secondhand vessels is steadily higher and freight rates still shaky.
Despite the difficulties that every person encounters, we all have to keep moving forward. My wish to everyone is to remain strong and supportive towards their loved ones and we will come out of this much stronger. I would like to finish with one quote; “When it is dark enough, you can see the stars”, Charles A. Beard.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 11 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
On the 4th of September the Baltic Dry Index marked its highest level for 2019, reaching 2,518 points, while the rest of the dry indices also recor ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS
It might be already overstated, but it seems to be important to point out once again how peculiar the current circumstances are.
Before the st ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
EIA FORECASTS U.S ELECTRIC POWER SECTOR DEMAND FOR COAL WILL FALL BY 81 MMST (15%) IN 2020
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 595 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, down 95 MMst (14%) from 2019. According to EIA's Shor ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
CORONAVIRUS: DEMAND DOWNGRADES FOR BULK COMMODITIES - WOOD MACKENZIE
The coronavirus outbreak is a rapidly evolving news story – and a real wildcard for bulks demand. Our global experts are monitoring the impac ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
CHINA'S COAL-RICH PROVINCE ENSURES ENERGY SUPPLY AMID EPIDEMIC - XINHUA
China’s coal-rich province of Shanxi has seen more than 500 coal mines resume production in February, which ensured energy supply amid the ou ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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