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Wednesday, 18 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Despite we all knew about the Covid-19 weeks ago, few could realize the size of the thread until the last few days. The examples of China and Italy weren’t enough to prepare us for what we would face. While strict measures are taken around the world in order to limit the spread of the virus, it is also crucial that each of us individually takes every precaution so that we can effectively face this invisible enemy. In light of this enemy, stock markets, trade and every business activity as we come to know it, have all started to collapse, affecting even more the global economy to new lows.
The shipping industry was inevitably affected as well. In the dry bulk market we have been experiencing a bad period since Q4 of 2019. The seasonal slowdown that started since Christmas and extended up to the end of the Chinese New Year along with the IMO regulations left no room for a strong Q1 in 2020. Initially, the virus outbreak reduced the trade and rates in the Far East. The collapse of the Capesize market was so severe though, that on 31st of January the index turned negative. BCI levels remained negative, reaching -355 points on 12/03/2020. The rest of the dry bulk indices kept facing pressure, while the BDI showed resistance just over the 400 point in the beginning of February.
Two weeks ago, the injection of fresh cargoes in the Atlantic coupled with a reported slowdown in new Covid-19 cases out of China resulted in a shy improvement of sentiment. Up until then, SnP activity followed a similar pattern and gave us glimpses of hope. The low indices reminded us a lot the period Q4 2015-Q1 2016. Asset values also began to decline, but by no means to the same extend they did in 2016.
Many buyers, especially in the Middle East and the West started to show interest for ships built 2005 onwards. Since the beginning of March we have also seen Far Eastern buyers showing interest for vintage Handysize loggers, Supramax and Panamax vessels with the majority of these buyers being Chinese. The quarantine regulations in some airports and ports worldwide led to huge difficulties for owners that wanted to arrange pre-purchase inspections, while delays were also observed in taking delivery of vessels. Naturally, many prospective buyers changed their mind and decided to wait until after there is more clarity regarding the current situation.
The last days’ events have significantly frozen buying interest since the negative sentiment widened and partly confirmed fears of further market declines and falling asset prices. Under the current circumstances, it seems that new buying opportunities will arise. Buyers still clearly have the upper hand since the supply of secondhand vessels is steadily higher and freight rates still shaky.
Despite the difficulties that every person encounters, we all have to keep moving forward. My wish to everyone is to remain strong and supportive towards their loved ones and we will come out of this much stronger. I would like to finish with one quote; “When it is dark enough, you can see the stars”, Charles A. Beard.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 19 March 20
A CRUDE TSUNAMI: UP TO 3 MILLION BPD OF EXTRA OIL CAN HIT THE MARKET FROM APRIL, MORE COMING IN MAY - RYSTAD ENERGY
The extra oil coming into the global market from April will be as much as 3 million barrels per day (bpd), Rystad Energy estimates. Two million bpd ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
BIMCO REVISES 2020 FORECAST FOR MAIN SHIPPING MARKETS
The coronavirus pandemic is impacting global shipping demand for 2020 negatively. The speed of the virus spread makes it difficult to assess the fu ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINED IN 2019 - EIA
In 2019, U.S. coal exports declined to 93 million short tons (MMst), a 20% decrease from the previous year, according to the U.S. Energy Informatio ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
SOUTH KOREA'S KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR MIN 3,700 OR MIN 4,200 NCV LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), has issued an international tender for total 160,000 MT (±10%) (80,000 x 2 Panamax) of ...
Wednesday, 18 March 20
DRY BULK: INDONESIAN COAL CARGOES PROVIDING A BIG BOOST IN THE EAST WHERE SENTIMENT FOR HANDIES ALSO STARTED IMPROVING - INTERMODAL
The BDI ended last week with small gains on the back of an encouraging number of cargoes out of key trading regions that helped sustain the reserve ...
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Planning Commission, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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