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Monday, 09 March 20
OPEC+ 'NO DEAL' A BLOW TO THE MARKET - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Speaking after today’s OPEC+ meeting broke up, Ann-Louise Hittle, vice president, Macro Oils, at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Today’s outcome is a psychological blow for the market, as the steep plunge in oil prices shows.
“And the market is now facing the spectre of unrestrained production once the current OPEC+ agreement expires in March.
“However, we do not think Saudi Arabia will push hard to lift their output in the northern hemisphere spring.
“Given weak demand and the likelihood this weakness will persist into the second quarter, it will be hard for any producer to increase their output sharply once the original production deal expires at the end of this month.”
Demand risks
She added: “One factor to bear in mind is that the plunge in demand we saw in Q1 was created by circumstances in China. The country’s coronavirus (Covid-19) containment measures have been far more stringent than those imposed anywhere else, and are not likely to be copied elsewhere.
“The lack of a production deal carries risk. This would become apparent if global economic growth weakens and oil demand continues to contract more sharply than expected thanks to the double whammy of coronavirus containment measures and falling GDP.”
Hittle said: “Our current projection sees global liquids demand fall by 2.7 million b/d year-on-year in the first quarter of 2020, the first year-on-year decline on a quarterly basis since Q2 2009.
“It is the most severe decline since Q4 2008, the height of the 2008-2009 global economic crisis, which saw demand tumble by 2.8 million b/d year-on-year.”
Hittle said: “If the impact the coronavirus has had on global oil demand is sustained, then by the second half of the year we’d expect to see weaker GDP. This will have a far greater impact on oil demand than just temporary reductions in jet fuel and gasoline demand.
“A longer, sustained outbreak of coronavirus threatens to hit oil demand with a double whammy: already weak demand will soften further because of containment measures, and this will weaken GDP.”
What next?
What does this mean for OPEC and OPEC+? It would mean that the group would likely need to monitor economic indicators closely. It may even mean that they could be forced to call an emergency meeting during the second quarter.
She added: “A sustained bout of low oil prices will further reduce cash flow and investment into the US oil patch, causing further hits to Lower 48 production growth later this year. It takes at least six to nine months for reductions in spend to lead to lower oil production in the US Lower 48.
“In that time, their access to capital may be limited and their free cash flow badly hit.
“The only silver lining in a very dark cloud is for refining – the sector will be hit hard by weak demand, but it is at least saved from tightening crude differentials associated with a major cut in OPEC supplies.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Thursday, 19 March 20
A CRUDE TSUNAMI: UP TO 3 MILLION BPD OF EXTRA OIL CAN HIT THE MARKET FROM APRIL, MORE COMING IN MAY - RYSTAD ENERGY
The extra oil coming into the global market from April will be as much as 3 million barrels per day (bpd), Rystad Energy estimates. Two million bpd ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
BIMCO REVISES 2020 FORECAST FOR MAIN SHIPPING MARKETS
The coronavirus pandemic is impacting global shipping demand for 2020 negatively. The speed of the virus spread makes it difficult to assess the fu ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINED IN 2019 - EIA
In 2019, U.S. coal exports declined to 93 million short tons (MMst), a 20% decrease from the previous year, according to the U.S. Energy Informatio ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
SOUTH KOREA'S KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR MIN 3,700 OR MIN 4,200 NCV LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), has issued an international tender for total 160,000 MT (±10%) (80,000 x 2 Panamax) of ...
Wednesday, 18 March 20
DRY BULK: INDONESIAN COAL CARGOES PROVIDING A BIG BOOST IN THE EAST WHERE SENTIMENT FOR HANDIES ALSO STARTED IMPROVING - INTERMODAL
The BDI ended last week with small gains on the back of an encouraging number of cargoes out of key trading regions that helped sustain the reserve ...
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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