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Monday, 09 March 20
OPEC+ 'NO DEAL' A BLOW TO THE MARKET - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Speaking after today’s OPEC+ meeting broke up, Ann-Louise Hittle, vice president, Macro Oils, at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Today’s outcome is a psychological blow for the market, as the steep plunge in oil prices shows.
“And the market is now facing the spectre of unrestrained production once the current OPEC+ agreement expires in March.
“However, we do not think Saudi Arabia will push hard to lift their output in the northern hemisphere spring.
“Given weak demand and the likelihood this weakness will persist into the second quarter, it will be hard for any producer to increase their output sharply once the original production deal expires at the end of this month.”
Demand risks
She added: “One factor to bear in mind is that the plunge in demand we saw in Q1 was created by circumstances in China. The country’s coronavirus (Covid-19) containment measures have been far more stringent than those imposed anywhere else, and are not likely to be copied elsewhere.
“The lack of a production deal carries risk. This would become apparent if global economic growth weakens and oil demand continues to contract more sharply than expected thanks to the double whammy of coronavirus containment measures and falling GDP.”
Hittle said: “Our current projection sees global liquids demand fall by 2.7 million b/d year-on-year in the first quarter of 2020, the first year-on-year decline on a quarterly basis since Q2 2009.
“It is the most severe decline since Q4 2008, the height of the 2008-2009 global economic crisis, which saw demand tumble by 2.8 million b/d year-on-year.”
Hittle said: “If the impact the coronavirus has had on global oil demand is sustained, then by the second half of the year we’d expect to see weaker GDP. This will have a far greater impact on oil demand than just temporary reductions in jet fuel and gasoline demand.
“A longer, sustained outbreak of coronavirus threatens to hit oil demand with a double whammy: already weak demand will soften further because of containment measures, and this will weaken GDP.”
What next?
What does this mean for OPEC and OPEC+? It would mean that the group would likely need to monitor economic indicators closely. It may even mean that they could be forced to call an emergency meeting during the second quarter.
She added: “A sustained bout of low oil prices will further reduce cash flow and investment into the US oil patch, causing further hits to Lower 48 production growth later this year. It takes at least six to nine months for reductions in spend to lead to lower oil production in the US Lower 48.
“In that time, their access to capital may be limited and their free cash flow badly hit.
“The only silver lining in a very dark cloud is for refining – the sector will be hit hard by weak demand, but it is at least saved from tightening crude differentials associated with a major cut in OPEC supplies.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Friday, 03 April 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE DROPS SLIGHTLY - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price dropped slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge ...
Wednesday, 01 April 20
TRADERS SCRAMBLE TO SELL CHEAP CRUDE CARGOES AS GLUT GROWS - REUTERS
Oil traders across the globe are offering cargoes far in advance as rapidly vanishing demand drives key physical crude prices to multi-decade lows, ...
Wednesday, 01 April 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
There is an old, allegedly Chinese, saying suggesting that living in “interesting” times usually refers to times of trouble. The latest ...
Tuesday, 31 March 20
FREIGHT MARKET: DRY BULKERS - SPOT MARKET 23-29 MARCH 2020
Capesize
The rebound in freight rates resumed this past week, with rates man-aging to post further gains by week’s end. The BCI is in negat ...
Tuesday, 31 March 20
DRY BULK: Q1 HAS BEEN THE WORST QUARTER NOTED FOR MORE THAN 3 YEARS NOW - ALLIED RESEARCH
At this point, the Covid-19 pandemic seems to be monopolizing all market (as well as all other) discussions across the world and any market insight ...
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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