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Wednesday, 04 March 20
CHINA IMPORTED 76.8 MLN TONNES OF CRUDE OIL FOR JANUARY & FEBRUARY 2020; UP 3.4% YOY - REFINITIV | BC
 The COVID-19 crisis has been gripping China already for almost two months now. It’s having a huge negative impact on the economy, and this is starting to show also in the trade figures.
In the first 2 months of 2020, China imported 76.8 mln tonnes of crude oil by sea, according to vessel tracking data from Refinitiv. This represents an increase of +3.4% y-o-y, compared to the 74.2 mln tonnes imported in the same two-month period of 2019. On a single-month basis, January showed a +2.5% year-on-year increase to 41.4 mln tonnes, whilst February showed a +4.6% increase year-on-year to 35.4 mln tonnes.
However, single month comparisons are misleading due to the shifting date of the Chinese New Year (which were in February last year but in January this year) – hence it makes more sense to look at the two months combined.
Whilst the data still shows positive growth in imports of +3.4% in the first two months of this year, this is a significant slowdown from the +18.6% growth seen in the same period last year, and also from the +5.2% y-o-y growth posted in 2018.
We now expect even more disappointing figures in March. During February 2020, sailings from the Arabian Gulf towards China were down almost by 10% year-on-year. Looking back at last year, China’s total seaborne imports of crude oil reached 447.6 mln tonnes in the 12 months of 2019, according to vessel tracking data from Refinitiv.
This represents an increase of +9.8% year-on-year, compared to the 407.7 mln tonnes imported in the whole of 2018. Last year, 47 percent of all crude shipments to China were sourced from the Arabian Gulf. Imports from Saudi Arabia increased by +47.5% year-on-year in 2019 to 77.9 mln tonnes. Saudi Arabia by itself accounts for 17% of all crude importsto China last year. Shipments from Iraq to China increased by +20.7% year-on-year in 2019 to 49.8 mln tonnes. Iraq accounts for 11% of China’s crude import volumes. Imports from Kuwait decreased by -4.4% y-o-y to 21.9 mln tonnes, however shipments from the UAE increased by +9.8% to 13.5 y-o-y. The biggest fall, of course, was from Iran ; volumes went down by -53.5% y-o-y to just 15.1 mln tonnes, down from 32.6 mln tonnes in 2018. Imports from Venezuela fell by -23.5% y-o-y in 2019 to just 10.4 mln tonnes. This however was more than compensated by a +39.9% increase in shipments from Brazil to 34.9 mln tonnes.
Shipments from West Africa to China increased by +6.2% in 2019 to 74.2 mln tonnes. West Africa accounted for 17% of all crude imports to China last year. The largest African exporter was Angola, with 44.7 mln tonnes, +0.9% y-o-y. Exports from Gabon almost doubled in 2019 to 6.9 mln tonnes, from 3.6 mln tonnes in 2018. Volumes from the Republic of Congo went down -12.0% to 11.7 mln tonnes, but from Nigeria almost trebled to 2.1 mln tonnes. Seaborne exports from Russia to China increased by +14.8 year-onyear to 29.4 mln tonnes. Naturally, the vast majority, 23.5 mln tonnes, came from Kozmino in Far East Russia, and 1.8 mln tonnes from Sakhalin. However, 2.9 mln tonnes were shipped all the way from Novorossiysk, and 0.6 mln tonnes from Primorsk! Volumes from the USA, unsurprisingly, crashed by -56.5% y-o-y to just 5.3 mln tonnes in 2019.
Source: Banchero Costa
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Wednesday, 04 December 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Dry bulk freight rates rebounded last week, a development that came as a relief following the recent negative sentiment that prevailed in the marke ...
Wednesday, 04 December 19
INDONESIA REVIEWING RULES MANDATING COAL SALES TO LOCAL BUYERS: OFFICIAL - REUTERS
Indonesia is reviewing rules that require coal miners to sell a portion of their coal to local buyers, a government official said on Monday, as sup ...
Tuesday, 03 December 19
STABILITY AND COMPATIBILITY OF VERY LOW SULPHUR FUEL OILS - GARD
In order to meet increasing restrictions on the sulphur content in marine fuel as defined by MARPOL Annex VI Regulation 14.1.3, the characteristics ...
Monday, 02 December 19
COAL PRODUCTION IN INDIA UP BY 164.58 MT IN 5 YEARS - BUSINESS LINE
Raw coal production in the country has increased from 567.77 million tons (MT) in 2013-14 to 730.35 MT in 2018-19, Union Coal and Parliamentary Aff ...
Monday, 02 December 19
OPEC PREPS FOR OIL'S 2020 BALANCING ACT - WOOD MACKENZIE
What steps should OPEC and its non-OPEC partners take to keep the market in balance in 2020? Ahead of OPEC’s meeting in Vienna on 5 and 6 Dec ...
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