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Friday, 21 February 20
CAPE: AVERAGE NOMINAL DAILY EARNINGS STILL ADMITTEDLY UNCHANGED W-O-W AT BELOW US$3000 - FEARNLEYS
FearnleysCAPE
The worst may just about be over for the big ships. Average nominal daily earnings still admittedly unchanged w-o-w at below US$3k, but sentiment turning to careful optimism and Far East cargo flows in particular increasing somewhat said Fearnleys in its latest weekly report. Question asked for weeks is what merit is there in employing tonnage at earnings closer to zero/day than opex, and with extensive drifting + ultra-slow steaming we may now be in for a resultant recoil if ore and coal volumes live up to expectations.

According to Fearnleys, Atlantic and fronthaul spot trades still have a long way to go in this respect, making any forecast uncertain. Several players have taken advantage of the recent dramatic downturn to pick quality period tonnage at heavy discounts, most recently exemplified by 206000 dwt built 2012 done for 14-17 months at US$14500/day - more conclusions expected in days and weeks to come.

PANAMAX
Commenting on Panamax, Fearnleys research team said that another positive week with numbers moving upwards in the Panamax-segment, especially in the ECSA region and in the east. For a Transatlantic trip, Kamsarmaxes (82.500 DWT) earn around the low USD 4,000's, while short fronthauls from the UK/Continent-region are priced at high USD 13,000.

For grains ECSA/China charterers are paying around USD 8,500 DOP Singapore for a round trip. A Transpacific round voyage in the east pay ship owners around the high USD 5,000's, and the Baltic 4TC-Index is up 140 points since last week, now at 722 points.

SUPRAMAX
Sentiment have improved slightly the last weeks with indices starting to turn green for the first time this year Fearnleys report indicated. However, the report says, levels still are still generally low. USG fronthaul currently pays low 20s, up from high teens a couple of weeks ago. Aps Indo rounds currently yields mid 7,000s USD pd, up from low 6,000s USD pd earlier this year. Going forward, further gains hinge on China returning in full from the corona virus related shutdowns.


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Recent News

Thursday, 23 January 20
COAL-BASED ELECTRICITY GENERATION SURGES 95% IN 2019 - PROFIT PAKISTAN TODAY
Coal-based power generation jumped 94.5 percent to 2,030 Gigawatt hours (GWh) in the year to November 2019, taking its share in the country’s ...


Wednesday, 22 January 20
INDIA: COAL PRODUCTION FROM CAPTIVE MINES RAISES 24% OUTPUT IN APRIL TO DECEMBER - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Coal production from captive mines in the first nine months of the ongoing financial year was up 24% year-on-year (y-o-y) at 40.93 million tonne (M ...


Wednesday, 22 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It seems that we are finally seeing whitish smoke as far as the trade feud between the US and China is concerned, while following this much anticip ...


Tuesday, 21 January 20
IRON ORE - 5 THINGS TO WATCH IN 2020 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie identifies five trends that will impact the iron ore industry.   Slower demand growth (especially in China) and a decen ...


Tuesday, 21 January 20
ASIA'S APPETITE FOR COAL GROWS, WITH CHINA THE KEY DECIDER - NIKKEI
Although renewable power generation is expected to rise significantly in Asia, India’s vast electricity needs will still underpin global dema ...


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