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Friday, 21 February 20
CAPE: AVERAGE NOMINAL DAILY EARNINGS STILL ADMITTEDLY UNCHANGED W-O-W AT BELOW US$3000 - FEARNLEYS
FearnleysCAPE
The worst may just about be over for the big ships. Average nominal daily earnings still admittedly unchanged w-o-w at below US$3k, but sentiment turning to careful optimism and Far East cargo flows in particular increasing somewhat said Fearnleys in its latest weekly report. Question asked for weeks is what merit is there in employing tonnage at earnings closer to zero/day than opex, and with extensive drifting + ultra-slow steaming we may now be in for a resultant recoil if ore and coal volumes live up to expectations.

According to Fearnleys, Atlantic and fronthaul spot trades still have a long way to go in this respect, making any forecast uncertain. Several players have taken advantage of the recent dramatic downturn to pick quality period tonnage at heavy discounts, most recently exemplified by 206000 dwt built 2012 done for 14-17 months at US$14500/day - more conclusions expected in days and weeks to come.

PANAMAX
Commenting on Panamax, Fearnleys research team said that another positive week with numbers moving upwards in the Panamax-segment, especially in the ECSA region and in the east. For a Transatlantic trip, Kamsarmaxes (82.500 DWT) earn around the low USD 4,000's, while short fronthauls from the UK/Continent-region are priced at high USD 13,000.

For grains ECSA/China charterers are paying around USD 8,500 DOP Singapore for a round trip. A Transpacific round voyage in the east pay ship owners around the high USD 5,000's, and the Baltic 4TC-Index is up 140 points since last week, now at 722 points.

SUPRAMAX
Sentiment have improved slightly the last weeks with indices starting to turn green for the first time this year Fearnleys report indicated. However, the report says, levels still are still generally low. USG fronthaul currently pays low 20s, up from high teens a couple of weeks ago. Aps Indo rounds currently yields mid 7,000s USD pd, up from low 6,000s USD pd earlier this year. Going forward, further gains hinge on China returning in full from the corona virus related shutdowns.


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Recent News

Friday, 07 February 20
CIL LOOKING TO TAP NON-POWER SECTORS FOR INCREMENTAL COAL, PTI REPORTED
The miner is looking to ramp up production to meet its targets for the current fiscal at a time when the economic slowdown is impacting demand for ...


Friday, 07 February 20
VIRUS - HIT CHINA MAY NEED MORE IMPORTS OF COAL. NOW COMES THE TRICKY PART - SHIPPING IT THERE: REUTERS
China’s domestic coal mines are struggling to ramp up production in the face of the ongoing coronavirus epidemic. That’s a situation th ...


Friday, 07 February 20
CORONAVIRUS IMPACTING THE GLOBAL SHIPPING INDUSTRY - BIMCO
The outbreak of the novel Coronavirus has dented market sentiment and spooked markets around the globe. When China sneezes, we all catch the flu. T ...


Thursday, 06 February 20
CAPE: WEAK SUPPLY/DEMAND RATIO THE STREETS REMAIN BLOODY FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Cape: With still a weak supply/demand ratio the streets remain bloody for the big ships, and actual spot earnings are close to zero on main short-h ...


Thursday, 06 February 20
CHINESE DEMAND KEY UNCERTAINTY FOR SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2020 - THE BRICS POST
Coal trader Noble Resources head of research Rodrigo Echeverri Cardozo had penciled in a 3 Mt drop in Chinese import demand for 2020, but it could ...


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