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Wednesday, 19 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The coronavirus outbreak is estimated to negatively affect global economy by at least EUR400bn this year, representing around the 0.4% of global GDP. The degree to which different economies will be affected varies, with some countries looking at damages only in few industries. In that spirit, since the Greek economy is not very reliant to the Chinese one, we can assume that the sector that will suffer most will be tourism, taking into consideration the upcoming holiday cancellation domino effect from Asia based citizens.
The Chinese government announced that aggressive measures will come into effect in an effort to limit the impact of a major shock from the spread of the coronavirus outbreak to the global economy. Part of these measures will include a brave injection of 1.2 trillion yuan (EUR 156 billion) in the country’s financial system as well as tariff exemptions on US farm, medical and energy products. In an effort to assess the extent that the economic impact the virus outbreak will have, Goldman Sachs analysts estimated that only a 0.1%-0.2% of the global economy will be affected, with this cost climbing up to 0.3% of the global GDP in the most pessimistic scenario.
The tanker market was the last one feeling the impact of the virus outbreak, with demand and rates being affected fairly recently compared to other sectors, however, if the spread continues for a long time, then Chinese demand for oil may experience contraction and push rates to even lower levels. On the dirty tanker market, we have seen a fall over the last weeks due to the lifting of US sanctions on Chinese-interest ships, with almost 40 VLCC tankers having returned to the market, significantly increasing the availability of tonnage as a result. In addition, as the countries of the West gradually enter the spring season, a brake on demand for tanker vessels is also on the cards due to seasonality.
On other news that could have a negative impact in the progress of the industry, the Manila Times newspaper pointed out the systematic failure of Philippine's Naval Schools and Academies to meet the international standards of training for a variety of reasons, including the poor naval training system, especially for low-wage crews.
According to the Philippine Maritime Industry Authority (Marina), 61 of the country's 91 naval schools should immediately cease their operations as there is no compliance with the requirements of the STCW (International Maritime Organization Convention on Standards of Training Certification and Watchkeeping for Seafarers). A development like that, which concerns the two-thirds of naval schools in the country, will seriously affect the capacity to train seafarers and the international credibility of all graduates from the Philippine naval schools.
By Zisis Stylianos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 21 December 20
COAL'S PARTIAL RECOVERY IS SET TO FADE AFTER 2021 - IEA
Global coal consumption is estimated to have fallen by 7%, or over 500 million tonnes, between 2018 in 2020. A decline of this size over a two-year ...
Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global ec ...
Friday, 18 December 20
AUSTRALIA PM WARNS OF ‘LOSE-LOSE’ IN ANY CHINA COAL SHIFT - REUTERS
Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison said any shift by China away from importing high quality Australian coal would be a “lose-lose&rdquo ...
Friday, 18 December 20
BIG OIL AND COAL EXPORTERS FACE RECKONING AS PARIS AGREEMENT TURNS FIVE - CNA
On Dec 12, more than 70 global leaders came together at the UN’s Climate Ambition Summit, marking the fifth anniversary of the Paris Agreemen ...
Friday, 18 December 20
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL EXPORTERS LARGELY DEPENDENT ON THE ASIAN MARKETS - BANCHERO COSTA
South Africa is the fourth largest exporter of coal in the world, after Australia, Indonesia and Russia. In calendar 2019 the country exported a to ...
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The University of Queensland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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