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Tuesday, 18 February 20
ADARO REMAINS POSITIVE ON THE LONG-TERM FUNDAMENTALS OF COAL MARKET SUPPORTED BY THE SOUTHEAST ASIA AND SOUTH ASIA REGION
AdaroThe global seaborne thermal coal market in 2019 was faced with macro and industry challenges  which  pushed  international  coal  prices  to  decline  y-o-y.  Slowing  global economy,  uncertainty  over  government  policies,  US-China  trade  tension, and  lower LNG  prices  were  among  the  factors  that  impinged  on  the  market  in  2019, said Adaro in its Quarterly Activities Report Fourth Quarter of 2019.  
 
According the one th elargest coal miner in Indoneisa, global manufacturing  PMI  ended  at  50.1 -reflecting marginal  expansion -as  the  market remained  cautious  of  the  lackluster  global  economy.  Electricity  demand  and  coal consumption  of  China  and  India  have also been  impacted.  
 
China’s  y-o-y  power generation  growth declinedto  5.4% from  6.2%  in  2018,  with  coastal  provinces  only growing by 3%, whereas India’s 11M19 y-o-y  coal-fired  generation  has  dropped  by 2.3%. 
 
Adaro Energy Quarterly Activities Report Fourth Quarter of 2019 further noted that, in addition, coal prices have declined with average GlobalCoal Newcastle (gCN) price in 2019 dropping to US$77.74 per tonne, reflecting a decline of 28% y-o-y.Despite the price pressure, the global trade of seaborne thermal coal has increased beyond 1 billion tonnes. Demand for Indonesian sub-bituminous coal from Southeast Asian  countries  like  Vietnam,  Malaysia  and  the  Philippines  increased  due  to  robust electricity  demand  along  with  the  increase  in  new  coal-fired  power  plants  capacity. 
Adaro Energy Quarterly Activities Report Fourth Quarter of 2019 noted that, the demand from Indonesian domestic market has also increased significantly by 20%, with  industrial  sector  as  one  of  the  greatest  contributors  to  the  domestic  demand growth. Moreover, Indonesia’s coal production reached a record 610 Mt in 2019 in response to the growing appetite towards Indonesian coal. 
 
Adaro says," We remain positive on the long-term fundamentals  of  coal market  supported by the Southeast  Asia and  South Asia region as these regions pursue economic development and improve their power sector".


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