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Friday, 14 February 20
WHY THE WORLD ECONOMY WILL BE FACING CHINA'S CORONAVIRUS FOR A LONG TIME - CNBC
 Everywhere we look we see the headlines and commentators talking about the coronavirus and its impact on tourism, trade and investment between China and the West — and China and the U.S., in particular. However, there are far-reaching effects that have not been contemplated fully beyond the intuitive assessment.
Things move slowly. China has long been known as a country with patience, which in business language translates to longer lead times in the transactional arena, sometimes exhaustive negotiations, and relationships are built over time. Many of these relationships are created in the environment of trade shows, conferences, information exchange platforms, and trade delegations. China has finely tuned this method of cross-border introductions and it is a continuous process.
Combined with this is the growth of the multinational business presence in China. Major retailers, manufacturers, pharmaceuticals, biotech, automotive and other sectors are firmly planted in China with technology and personnel. Now, with the essentially closed border with China, the rest of the world waits and watches. To the business community, this is unsettling, to say the least, because there is no accurate predictor of when a vaccine may be found or when the world threat eradicated. Even when those pronouncements are ultimately made by Beijing there is the inherent distrust of information disseminated by the Chinese government.
So what does all of this mean for cross-border business in the short and long term?
An aerial view reveals that the movement of people and technology and deal closure have simply come to a halt. When the Chinese government, or other governments, or the WHO pronounce that it is safe to travel to China again, that will not be the end of it. There has been a worldwide reaction to the scare. The tradeshow and related cancellations have occurred not only in China but throughout Asia and into Europe. Therefore, a wide swath of activities are upended across all business sectors.
The rate of new cases slowed on Wednesday. As of this writing, there have been more than 45,000 cases of Covid-19 and over 1,100 deaths. Businesses from cruise ships to luxury brands and air travel, as well as global markets like oil, have all been hit. There can be no question that it will be a slow and painful process moving back to normalcy. Professional offices remain closed indefinitely, and 90% of businesses are closed or at dramatically reduced hours. Theaters, factories and others where people congregate are closed.
We are all familiar with the recent comparisons of coronavirus with SARS, but there is no real comparison. SARS was perceived as essentially a Hong Kong-centric event and everyone wondered if that would be the death of the HK economy, coming a few years after the handover. Moreover, social media and its impact on global interaction were just launching, and China’s interaction with the world economy was in its infancy.
Transparency will be the key to short term confidence which will lead to a long-term recovery. This is despite short-term pain and embarrassment. All governments can learn a lesson from this, but Beijing has yet to learn it. It may very well be that Wuhan, as ground zero for the Coronavirus, never recovers. The headlines today paint Wuhan as a pariah city, in a wartime battle and in lockdown. The Chinese Chernobyl. These characterizations will not be easily shed. Wuhan, as the capital of Hubei province, has positioned itself as a foreign investment hub and has developed trade, manufacturing and export and development zones to highlight its growth and position within China. Companies will have to assess whether or not their investments should remain in Wuhan or be moved.
Considering China’s impact on the world economy, China will not be off limits to future investment forever. Instead, there will be wariness and unbridled caution for the foreseeable future. Businesses will seek alternatives to avoid commercial and liability issues.
In the best case, returning to normal is not a reasonable expectation in the short term. In the long term, China must take all steps necessary to demonstrate its commitment to transparency regarding all factors relating to the virus. In today’s economy, there are many alternatives for trade and investment and China must recognize that its global trade partners need regular and repeated reassurances. Additionally, China will need to inject substantial financial incentives into the economy to balance against commercial and optical risks.
In the best of circumstances, this process will take six to nine months to see the way forward to a stable and commercially feasible reintroduction of business, confidence and renewed investment. This will require unrelenting adjustments as events require. There is no single action or vaccine that will erase the impact of the coronavirus. A group of actions are needed to restore the zeal and excitement for consumer, business, investment and tourism.
Anything less will create a lingering atmosphere of caution and distrust.
Source: CNBC
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Friday, 07 February 20
CIL LOOKING TO TAP NON-POWER SECTORS FOR INCREMENTAL COAL, PTI REPORTED
The miner is looking to ramp up production to meet its targets for the current fiscal at a time when the economic slowdown is impacting demand for ...
Friday, 07 February 20
VIRUS - HIT CHINA MAY NEED MORE IMPORTS OF COAL. NOW COMES THE TRICKY PART - SHIPPING IT THERE: REUTERS
China’s domestic coal mines are struggling to ramp up production in the face of the ongoing coronavirus epidemic. That’s a situation th ...
Friday, 07 February 20
CORONAVIRUS IMPACTING THE GLOBAL SHIPPING INDUSTRY - BIMCO
The outbreak of the novel Coronavirus has dented market sentiment and spooked markets around the globe. When China sneezes, we all catch the flu. T ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CAPE: WEAK SUPPLY/DEMAND RATIO THE STREETS REMAIN BLOODY FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Cape: With still a weak supply/demand ratio the streets remain bloody for the big ships, and actual spot earnings are close to zero on main short-h ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CHINESE DEMAND KEY UNCERTAINTY FOR SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2020 - THE BRICS POST
Coal trader Noble Resources head of research Rodrigo Echeverri Cardozo had penciled in a 3 Mt drop in Chinese import demand for 2020, but it could ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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