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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 01 May 18
GLOBAL MINER PEABODY EYES SALES OPPORTUNITY IN INDIA’S RISING COAL IMPORTS - BUSINESS STANDARD
Indian imports of coal will continue to rise, reckons the world’s largest private sector coal miner Peabody Energy. Glenn Kellow, president a ...
Saturday, 28 April 18
STRONG ASIAN DEMAND CONTINUES TO HOLD UP THERMAL COAL MARKETS - REUTERS
Asian thermal coal demand is defying its typical seasonal slowdown as well as the expanding use of renewables and natural gas, with prices holding ...
Friday, 27 April 18
PEABODY ENERGY'S REVENUES FOR THE FIRST QUARTER ROSE 10 PERCENT OVER THE PRIOR YEAR TO $1.46 BILLION
Peabody Energy's revenues for the first quarter rose 10 percent over the prior year to $1.46 billion driven by improved seaborne coal pricing a ...
Thursday, 26 April 18
BALTIC EXCHANGE LAUNCHES ESCROW SERVICE FOR VESSEL SALES
The Baltic Exchange will be launching an Escrow Service for its members to hold deposits for ship sale transactions. The move will allow Baltic Exc ...
Thursday, 26 April 18
COAL PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE $85/MT IN 2018, DOWN SLIGHTLY FROM 2017 - WORLD BANK
Coal prices rose 4 percent in the first quarter (q/q), following a surge of 34 percent in 2017, mainly due to strong consumption in China spurred b ...
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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