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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 24 May 18
SUPRAS FIXING AROUND USD 15000 FOR INDO TO CHINA COAL TRIPS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Both the physical and the paper market have dropped sharply the last couple of days on the back of a lack of fresh cargoes and a growing ...
Thursday, 24 May 18
FITCH: FALLING COAL INVESTMENT TO SUPPORT ASIAN PRICES
Press Release: The long-term outlook for the Asian thermal coal prices is improving, amid rising regional demand and falling mining investment, whi ...
Thursday, 24 May 18
BEIJING ORDERS UTILITIES, MINERS TO HELP COOL RED-HOT COAL MARKET: SOURCES - REUTERS
China’s state planner ordered utilities this week to stop stockpiling thermal coal and told miners to slash prices, two sources familiar with ...
Wednesday, 23 May 18
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
In the last six months we have seen more than 110 reported tanker transactions involving tonnage larger than 32k dwt and younger than 18 years old. ...
Friday, 18 May 18
AFTER COAL, INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT PUSHES DMO ON GAS FOR ELECTRICITY
After introducing its domestic market obligation (DMO) policy for coal on March 12, the government is going forward with its plan to introduce a DM ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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