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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 June 18
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRICES HIT 6-YEAR HIGH AS ASIA DEMAND SPIKES - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have risen to their highest level since 2012 as hot weather across North Asia spurs buying ahead of the peak summer ...
Monday, 11 June 18
ANALYSING A NEW AGE OF AUTONOMOUS VESSELS - IMO
The International Maritime Organization answers the questions of Government Europa on how the next generation of autonomous vessels can be regulate ...
Friday, 08 June 18
AUSTRALIAN THERMAL COAL PRICES SURGE AS ASIA DEMAND HEATS UP - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have hit their highest level since late 2016 as the market heats up on strong demand across North Asia and China in ...
Wednesday, 06 June 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
As observed last month the price of oil hit its highest level since November 2014 reaching $80 per barrel. Global oil demand growth for 2018 was sl ...
Tuesday, 05 June 18
SOUTH KOREA'S SULPHUR CAP ALTERS ASIAN COAL MARKET DYNAMICS: RUSSELL
South Korea’s imposition of a strict sulphur cap on its imported coal is likely to cause ripples across Asia’s markets for the pollutin ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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