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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 02 October 18
PANAMAX: A FURTHER RISE ACROSS ALL MAIN ROUTES THIS WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize
Finally an upward recovery was in sight in the spot market the past few days, after the prolonged negative pressure noted the weeks pr ...
Tuesday, 02 October 18
THE PRICE OF OIL CONTINUES ITS CLIMB AMIDST A SERIES OF CONCERNS REGARDING SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It has been a busy week for oil traders as the price of oil continues its climb amidst a series of concerns regarding supply constraints.
...
Tuesday, 02 October 18
INDONESIA GETS READY TO MEET INCREASED COAL DEMAND FROM CHINA, FREIGHT TO RESPOND - MIKAL BOE
Indonesian coal suppliers have increased their domestic coal production target by 4.5 percent from a previous 485 million tonnes to a massive 507 m ...
Monday, 01 October 18
SUPRAMAX: A 56,000 DWT FIXED DELIVERY FOR A SURABAYA TRIP WITH REDELIVERY TO WEST COAST INDIA AT $13,500 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A stop-start market for the big ships with many expectations and few fulfilled. Holidays curtailed trading early in the week, but the ...
Monday, 01 October 18
A NO-DEAL BREXIT WILL UNDOUBTEDLY HAVE CONSEQUENCES FOR IMPORTERS AND EXPORTERS - KATE JONES, THE BALTIC BRIEFING
If you live in the UK, you might be finding it difficult to get away from the Brexit debate. “Hard Brexit”, “soft Brexit”, ...
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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