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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 24 October 18
CHINESE POWER PLANT STOCKPILES AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE 2015 - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
Chinese power plant coal stockpiles have climbed to approximately 83.3 million tons as of the middle of this month, said Jeffrey Landsberg in his e ...
Tuesday, 23 October 18
WILL THE U.S. COAL DECLINE CONTINUE? - FORBES
What’s Trump’s new coal proposal?
Adding to its controversial plan to leverage federal authority to keep retiring baselo ...
Monday, 22 October 18
CONTINUED HIGH LNG PRICES; TRADE WAR IMPACT LIMITED - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects sustained high spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) and contract prices over the next two quarters on limited investment in LNG e ...
Monday, 22 October 18
WINTER OIL MARKET OUTLOOK - OPEC
The oil market in the winter season is generally characterized by demand for diesel, particularly in the northern hemisphere, leaving product marke ...
Saturday, 20 October 18
PANAMAX: THE PACIFIC SAW A LARGE VOLUME OF FIXING, WITH INDONESIA AGAIN THE DRIVING FORCE - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A positive end to last week after a shaky start, with a Coaltrans taking participants out of the market early on and with rates slippi ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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