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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 18 November 18
COAL STOCKS IN A THIRD OF NTPC PLANTS CLOSE TO NIL - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Coal supply shortage continues to haunt NTPC, the country’s largest power generator, with latest government data showing 31% of the company&r ...
Thursday, 15 November 18
OIL MARKET REPORT: HEEDING THE WARNINGS - IEA
In last month’s Report, we noted that since the middle of the year oil supply had increased sharply, with gains in the Middle East, Russia an ...
Wednesday, 14 November 18
BIMCO ADOPTS 2020 BUNKER CLAUSES
BIMCO has developed two 2020 bunker clauses that deal with general compliance and the transitional period for an early December release.
...
Wednesday, 14 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The shipping industry is going through an interesting period across all markets. Since the end of last year, the Dry Baltic Index has been showing ...
Tuesday, 13 November 18
INDIA: POWER DEMAND UP; COAL STOCKS AT MINES AT A 5-YEAR LOW - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Stocks at Coal India mines plunged to a five-year low of 21 million tonne (mt) in October, as a sudden surge in demand for the fuel from the power ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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