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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 19 December 18
GLOBAL SHIPPING SCOUTS FOR FUTURE GROWTH - PETER SAND, BIMCO
Where do we go to find economic growth that spurs shipping demand in the next five years? According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), we sh ...
Wednesday, 19 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As another year is coming to an end, it is interesting to look at the main shipping markets and how these performed compared to 2017.
&nb ...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
COAL DEMAND WILL REMAIN STEADY THROUGH 2023, INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY SAYS - TOM DICHRISTOPHER, CNBC
Coal consumption is on the rise but will remain roughly stable over the next five years, the International Energy Agency forecasts.
...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
DRY BULK: IN ABSOLUTE TERMS, ALL MAIN SIZE SEGMENTS SAW THEIR ACTUAL VOLATILITY FIGURES DECREASE - ALLIED
Since the beginning of 2016, when the dry bulk market reached its absolute bottom, freight rates have been ever since on an upward trajectory. Taki ...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
COAL OUTLOOK BULLISH DESPITE WEAK CHINESE IMPORT DATA - HEREN, ICIS
Coal prices may appreciate over the remainder of 2018 even despite recent data showing falling imports from the world’s largest producer and ...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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