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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 07 May 19
UNDOUBTEDLY A VERY TROUBLED YEAR FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, SAYS ALLIED SHIPPING
Undoubtedly a very troubled year for the dry bulk market says Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
Thomas Chasapis, Re ...
Saturday, 04 May 19
HOW THE 'FAIR VALUE' OF COAL ASSETS IS AFFECTED BY COMMODITY CYCLES - CRU
As with any commodity, valuing coal assets can be tricky due to the cyclical nature of the market. In this insight, CRU discusses how commodity cyc ...
Friday, 03 May 19
SUPRAMAX: WITH WIDESPREAD HOLIDAYS DURING THE WEEK, THE MARKET LACKED IMPETUS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market last week was a tale of two halves, with substantial volatility. Beginning the week on a positive note the C5 West Australi ...
Friday, 03 May 19
COAL INDIA APRIL OUTPUT RISES 1% TO 45.29 MILLION TONNE - PTI
Coal India Ltd (CIL) Wednesday said its coal production in April 2019 rose by 1 per cent to 45.29 million tonne as compared with 44.86 million tonn ...
Sunday, 28 April 19
SUPRAMAX: A 54,000DWT VESSEL OPEN GRESIK FIXED VIA AUSTRALIA, REDELIVERY CHINA, IN THE MID $12,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Following the holidays, activity increased in both the Pacific and Atlantic Basins. The 5TC average rallied, closing at $8,596, up $1, ...
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The University of Queensland
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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