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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 23 June 19
SUPRAMAX: A 56,000-DWT WAS FIXED FROM INDONESIA TO VIETNAM AT $10,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The story over the past week has been largely Atlantic dominated as the basin’s uniquely volatile characteristics came into play ...
Saturday, 22 June 19
OPEC'S BATTLE FOR CONTROL OF THE OIL MARKET - WOOD MACKENZIE
Oil supply is confounding expectations. We have just raised our forecasts for non-OPEC production, the latest in a series of incremental increases. ...
Friday, 21 June 19
INDONESIA'S BAYAN RESOURCES SIGNED A COAL SUPPLY AGREEMENT WITH THE BANGLADESH BCPCL TO SUPPLY 23 MILLION TONS OF COAL FOR 10 YEARS
On Monday, 17th June 2019, PT. Bayan Resources signed a Coal supply Agreement with the Bangladesh- China Power Company (Pvt.) Limited. BCPCL is a j ...
Thursday, 20 June 19
BUMI RESOURCES EXPECTS TO SELL 42 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN FIRST HALF - JAKARTA POST
PT Bumi Resources (BUMI), Indonesia's largest thermal coal miner, expects to close the first half of this year with coal sales of 42 million to ...
Tuesday, 18 June 19
TANKER SHIPPING: WHILE WE WAIT FOR 2020 TO KICK IN, IT'S ALL ABOUT POLITICS - BIMCO
Demand drivers and freight rates
Iran, Libya and Venezuela face export limitations because of sanctions and internal political troubles. At the s ...
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Coal Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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