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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 10 October 19
THERMAL COAL IMPORT LIKELY TO CROSS 200 MT IN 2019-20 - TIME OF INDIA
The country's overall thermal coal import is likely to cross the 200-million tonnes (MT) mark in the current financial year, according to Icra. ...
Wednesday, 09 October 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we have already stated in previous insights, we had expected that the recovery on rates and activity across all segments in the offshore market ...
Thursday, 03 October 19
OIL PRICE ASSUMPTIONS UNCHANGED, NBP GAS PRICE LOWERED - FITCH RATINGS PRIMARY - FITCH RATINGS
Our oil price assumptions are unchanged, despite the recent price volatility following the attacks on Saudi Arabia's oil infrastructure, Fitch ...
Thursday, 03 October 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT
Edible oil products across the board are showing healthy amount of export activity, however, rates in most cases are struggling to move accordingly ...
Friday, 27 September 19
LOWDOWN ON INCOTERMS 2020 OVERHAUL - BALTIC EXCHANGE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
This ninth revision of Incoterms is changed in style and substance. The revisions improve certain aspects of Incoterms 20 ...
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The University of Queensland
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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