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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 19 March 20
A CRUDE TSUNAMI: UP TO 3 MILLION BPD OF EXTRA OIL CAN HIT THE MARKET FROM APRIL, MORE COMING IN MAY - RYSTAD ENERGY
The extra oil coming into the global market from April will be as much as 3 million barrels per day (bpd), Rystad Energy estimates. Two million bpd ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
BIMCO REVISES 2020 FORECAST FOR MAIN SHIPPING MARKETS
The coronavirus pandemic is impacting global shipping demand for 2020 negatively. The speed of the virus spread makes it difficult to assess the fu ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINED IN 2019 - EIA
In 2019, U.S. coal exports declined to 93 million short tons (MMst), a 20% decrease from the previous year, according to the U.S. Energy Informatio ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
SOUTH KOREA'S KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR MIN 3,700 OR MIN 4,200 NCV LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), has issued an international tender for total 160,000 MT (±10%) (80,000 x 2 Panamax) of ...
Wednesday, 18 March 20
DRY BULK: INDONESIAN COAL CARGOES PROVIDING A BIG BOOST IN THE EAST WHERE SENTIMENT FOR HANDIES ALSO STARTED IMPROVING - INTERMODAL
The BDI ended last week with small gains on the back of an encouraging number of cargoes out of key trading regions that helped sustain the reserve ...
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Coal Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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