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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 28 March 20
ASIA'S COAL MARKETS DIVERGE ON QUALITY LINES AS CORONAVIRUS HITS INDIA - REUTERS
Asia’s seaborne coal market is increasingly diverging between higher-quality Australian coal, where prices are holding up despite the economi ...
Friday, 27 March 20
CHINA'S BULKS: THE SENTIMENT GAP BETWEEN STEEL AND COAL WIDENS - WOOD MACKENZIE
China seems to be containing its local coronavirus situation, with imported cases now posing the greater threat. While quarantine measures remain t ...
Friday, 27 March 20
S.KOREA Q1 THERMAL COAL IMPORTS SET FOR 10-YR LOW ON ANTI-POLLUTION MEASURES - REUTERS
South Korea’s first-quarter thermal coal imports are set to fall to a decade-low due to stricter air pollution measures, while the coronaviru ...
Friday, 27 March 20
PORT OF NEWCASTLE OPERATIONS CONTINUE WITH COVID-19 RESPONSE MEASURES IN PLACE
Port of Newcastle, like many organisations, is taking a precautionary approach to help manage COVID-19 risks in the community. Our focus is on ensu ...
Thursday, 26 March 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE DROPS SLIGHTLY - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price dropped slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge ...
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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