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Wednesday, 12 February 20
THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY SEES FREIGHT MARKETS IN A COMPLETE STATE OF COLLAPSE AS DEMAND GETS PARALYZED DUE TO CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK - ALLIED
 With China and the world still trying to contain the effects and come to terms with the Wuhan novel coronavirus outbreak, the shipping industry sees freight markets in a complete state of collapse as demand gets paralyzed by the ensuing effects. As a general rule of thumb during the past decade, shipping markets tend to underperform when China’s economy is not at it’s best. China’s industrial might over the past two decades has helped drive the vast majority of demand for raw materials and re-sources, said Allied Shipping research in its latest report.
According to George Lazaridis Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, this reliance on the world’s second largest economy even seems sometimes to be almost absolute in keeping the freight markets afloat. It is therefore no surprise that the fears that have emerged of late as to the potential effects the outbreak of the coronavirus will have on China’s economy moving forward have left many to fear as to how well the shipping markets will be able to perform this year. The truth of the matter is that we have seen a major hit and correction noted over the past 1 ½ months in both the dry bulk and tanker freight markets, with the former having shown lows in some of its freight rate levels not even seen back in 2016. This sparks further worries, as the prevailing projections now are for China’s year-on-year economic expansion for 1Q2020 to well fall down to 4%, the slowest pace since China first started publishing quarterly figures back in 1992.
The report further noted that, all this however has not been limited to the freight markets as other commercial aspects within the shipping industry have also been profoundly affected. This has ranged from shipbuilding production, maintenance and repairs, crew changes, cargo loading and discharging operations (with many traders having issued force majeure notices) all the way through to sale and purchase activity, as we have seen difficulties in undertaking superficial inspections as well as delivery of vessels in regions which have been severely hit by the virus outbreak. In terms of the sale and purchase markets, we are likely to see things take a further downturn over the coming days as the lack of activity coupled with the poor sentiment that is now seemingly overwhelming most in the market is likely to lead to a slower pace in buying interest. It would seem that even the few remaining buyers still actively looking into the market right now are more so keen to act on any bargain deals that could possibly emerge under the cur-rent circumstances rather than through a deep belief in strong market fundamentals, a fact in itself that pushes the view that we may well see some further price discounts down the line, especially in the dry bulk sector which has ultimately been the hardest hit up to now from the current market developments.
George Lazaridis Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping noted in his report that, taking into consideration however that these recent market developments have been considerably intense within a short space of time and look to be temporary in their nature, the prevailing belief is that we will likely see a considerable recovery take shape at some point in the second or third quarter of the year. Given how “compressed” markets have been during the past couple of weeks, the “spring effect” (just as a spring releases it’s stored mechanical energy) may well be considerable and quick in nature. We are likely to see many traders in the market looking to recoup “lost” cargo volumes during the time period that follows the containment of the virus, while we may even see a considerable wave of stimulus emerge as the Chinese government looks to offset the negative effects of the outbreak. All in all it has become clear that the current events will further dampen this year’s results, yet we shouldn’t take the recent over-exaggerations of the market as the new market norm.
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Friday, 07 February 20
CIL LOOKING TO TAP NON-POWER SECTORS FOR INCREMENTAL COAL, PTI REPORTED
The miner is looking to ramp up production to meet its targets for the current fiscal at a time when the economic slowdown is impacting demand for ...
Friday, 07 February 20
VIRUS - HIT CHINA MAY NEED MORE IMPORTS OF COAL. NOW COMES THE TRICKY PART - SHIPPING IT THERE: REUTERS
China’s domestic coal mines are struggling to ramp up production in the face of the ongoing coronavirus epidemic. That’s a situation th ...
Friday, 07 February 20
CORONAVIRUS IMPACTING THE GLOBAL SHIPPING INDUSTRY - BIMCO
The outbreak of the novel Coronavirus has dented market sentiment and spooked markets around the globe. When China sneezes, we all catch the flu. T ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CAPE: WEAK SUPPLY/DEMAND RATIO THE STREETS REMAIN BLOODY FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Cape: With still a weak supply/demand ratio the streets remain bloody for the big ships, and actual spot earnings are close to zero on main short-h ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CHINESE DEMAND KEY UNCERTAINTY FOR SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2020 - THE BRICS POST
Coal trader Noble Resources head of research Rodrigo Echeverri Cardozo had penciled in a 3 Mt drop in Chinese import demand for 2020, but it could ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
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- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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