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Thursday, 06 February 20
CHINESE DEMAND KEY UNCERTAINTY FOR SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2020 - THE BRICS POST
Coal trader Noble Resources head of research Rodrigo Echeverri Cardozo had penciled in a 3 Mt drop in Chinese import demand for 2020, but it could drop by 20 Mt depending on how long the disruption caused by the so-called “Wuhan flu” continued, he told the 15th Annual Southern African Coal Conference in Cape Town, South Africa.
“I normally have my presentation ready at least one week before the conference, but this time, I have had to update on a daily basis, as the number of cases is spreading so fast. The bad news is that the first quarter of 2020 is going to be pretty poor, because Chinese traders hold back from buying as they wait for the economic impact to stabilize,” he said.
The coronavirus outbreak, which originated in Wuhan, China, has exceeded a grim comparison milestone, as the number of confirmed cases in mainland China has now surpassed that of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) during the 2002-2003 epidemic.
It took six months for the number of SARS cases to exceed 5,000 in mainland China and the coronavirus surpassed that in just one month. SARS infected more than 8,000 people and killed some 800, resulting in estimates of global economic costs from disrupted trade and travel of R400 billion to R1.4 trillion.
“European coal burn has been on a downward trend for more than three years and this will continue in 2020, so the only good news is that we are unlikely to see the export supply surge from Indonesia that we saw last year, as domestic demand ramps up, so there will be less extra supply coming for that quarter,” he added.
“From my point of view, South African exports are the easiest to forecast as they have been flat for the past few years. I have got a small 0.4 Mt increase for this year,” he concluded.
The South African coal industry mines some 260 Mt of which some 72 Mt is exported and employs more than 86,000 miners who get R25 billion in salaries.
Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) achieved an annualised throughput of 95 Mt in December 2018 when they loaded 105 vessels, even though for the year, RBCT coal exports fell to 72.15 Mt in 2019 from 73.47 Mt in 2018 and a record 76.47 Mt in 2017. The rail line to RBCT has a current capacity of 81 Mt, while the port has a capacity of 91 Mt.
South African coal producers will need to boost productivity as competition intensifies in coal export markets, Mike Teke, CEO of coal mining company, Seriti Resources, said.
“The drive to be efficient and best in class regarding exporting coal is imperative,” he said.
Source: The BRICS Post
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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the ...
Tuesday, 14 January 20
DRY BULK MARKET: "THIS IS NOT THE END OF COAL" SAYS IEA - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A historic drop in coal-fired electricity generation will not sway global coal demand from its upward trajectory through to 2024, though growth wil ...
Saturday, 11 January 20
ARE YOU 95% CONFIDENT THAT YOUR VERY LOW SULPHUR FUEL IS ON SPEC AND MARPOL COMPLIANT? - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Bunker fuel is a commodity and, like all commodities, is produced and sold according to specifications. Bunkers are usual ...
Saturday, 11 January 20
NEW PRICING COULD SPELL TROUBLE FOR CHINA'S COAL SECTOR - CHINA DIALOGUE
Benchmark coal tariffs have been the foundation of China’s electricity pricing since 2004 but this mechanism was replaced on January 1 with a ...
Saturday, 11 January 20
BALTIC BRIEFING TANKER REPORT - WEEK 2
VLCC
Escalating tensions between the USA and Iran, in addition to a continuing strong market, made for an interesting week, with rates firming ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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