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Thursday, 06 February 20
CHINESE DEMAND KEY UNCERTAINTY FOR SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2020 - THE BRICS POST
Coal trader Noble Resources head of research Rodrigo Echeverri Cardozo had penciled in a 3 Mt drop in Chinese import demand for 2020, but it could drop by 20 Mt depending on how long the disruption caused by the so-called “Wuhan flu” continued, he told the 15th Annual Southern African Coal Conference in Cape Town, South Africa.
“I normally have my presentation ready at least one week before the conference, but this time, I have had to update on a daily basis, as the number of cases is spreading so fast. The bad news is that the first quarter of 2020 is going to be pretty poor, because Chinese traders hold back from buying as they wait for the economic impact to stabilize,” he said.
The coronavirus outbreak, which originated in Wuhan, China, has exceeded a grim comparison milestone, as the number of confirmed cases in mainland China has now surpassed that of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) during the 2002-2003 epidemic.
It took six months for the number of SARS cases to exceed 5,000 in mainland China and the coronavirus surpassed that in just one month. SARS infected more than 8,000 people and killed some 800, resulting in estimates of global economic costs from disrupted trade and travel of R400 billion to R1.4 trillion.
“European coal burn has been on a downward trend for more than three years and this will continue in 2020, so the only good news is that we are unlikely to see the export supply surge from Indonesia that we saw last year, as domestic demand ramps up, so there will be less extra supply coming for that quarter,” he added.
“From my point of view, South African exports are the easiest to forecast as they have been flat for the past few years. I have got a small 0.4 Mt increase for this year,” he concluded.
The South African coal industry mines some 260 Mt of which some 72 Mt is exported and employs more than 86,000 miners who get R25 billion in salaries.
Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) achieved an annualised throughput of 95 Mt in December 2018 when they loaded 105 vessels, even though for the year, RBCT coal exports fell to 72.15 Mt in 2019 from 73.47 Mt in 2018 and a record 76.47 Mt in 2017. The rail line to RBCT has a current capacity of 81 Mt, while the port has a capacity of 91 Mt.
South African coal producers will need to boost productivity as competition intensifies in coal export markets, Mike Teke, CEO of coal mining company, Seriti Resources, said.
“The drive to be efficient and best in class regarding exporting coal is imperative,” he said.
Source: The BRICS Post
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Thursday, 30 January 20
CAPE: WITH CHINESE NEW YEAR TAKING PLACE, THE RATES ARE REACHING FURTHER DISAPPOINTING LEVELS - FEARNLEYS
Cape
With Chinese New Year taking place, the rates are reaching further disappointing levels. Present TC average is below USD 4,500, off 24% fr ...
Wednesday, 29 January 20
INDONESIA REMAINS AT THE TOP SPOT IN 2019 AS THE LARGEST SUPPLIER OF COAL TO INDIA WITH 91.3 MLN TONNES - BANCHERO COSTA
Despite repeated promises from India’s government to reduce the country’s coal imports and increase domestic self-reliance, volumes jus ...
Wednesday, 29 January 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Last week Libya’s oil production operations were disrupted as it was reported that local Libyan tribes interrupted output at the the El Feel ...
Tuesday, 28 January 20
INDONESIA - UNCERTAINTY OVER AVAILABILITY OF LSFO - THE STANDARD CLUB
The club has received reports that low sulphur fuel is not currently readily available in all Indonesian ports and that there are local shortages.
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Sunday, 26 January 20
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN BASIN SAW A 56,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY SAMARINDA TRIP TO WEST COAST INDIA AT $4,750 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market endured heavy losses throughout the past week, with the Capesize 5TC dropping from $8,352 to $4,772. In the lead up to Chin ...
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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