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Tuesday, 04 February 20
CAPE: THE AVERAGE EARNINGS PER DAY FELL BENEATH THE USD 4,000, A LEVEL CONSIDERABLY BELOW EVEN THE MOST CONSERVATIVE OPEX LEVELS - ALLIED
 The recent slump in the dry bulk freight market may well have been expected to some degree, but despite this the shock was still overwhelming when the BCI reached for the first time in its history a negative figure (-20 bp on Friday with even lower figures being posted today), Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied shipping said in his latest weekly report. At the same time the average earnings per day fell beneath the USD 4,000/day, a level considerably below even the most conservative OPEX levels.
He further noted that, significant losses were also being noted across the rest of the dry bulk size classes. The key driver behind this downward spiral couldn’t be other than China, the Asian giant that encompasses approximately 12.5% of global trade. The recent Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak seems to have brought about another stall in the global economy. The aftermath of the virus outbreak has been severe so far, with the Chinese stock market having posted its worst opening since 2007, while several multinational and local companies have temporarily shut down operations in the country, amongst them, construction sites and steel production facilities. Given that the main affected regions produce approximately 60% of the total steel production within the country, it is of little surprise that demand for iron ore has been limited as of late. It is worth mentioning that last year it is estimated that China produced about 1 billion tons of steel, while consumed more than 1.5 billion tons of iron ore. The impact of this halt in operations is also depicted in the price of iron ore, that has dropped significantly during this past week, as well as the losses that have been witnessed in the stock prices of key iron ore traders such as Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP. The situation in China has not been the only headache for iron ore traders, as severe floods noted in south-eastern Brazil last week, a key iron ore producing region, has reduced Brazilian exports, limiting the availability of cargoes and further limiting activity in the Capesize sector. Meanwhile, official numbers are showing an expectation for less iron ore car-goes to be exported from Brazil in 2020 compared to 2019.
According to Yiannis Vamvakas, China’s importance is not limited to the iron ore trade, being a key player in the whole global trading ecosystem. Imports for agricultural products as well as coal have also been reduced, as the barriers to free movement of people has limited the ability of the Chinese economy to operate smoothly. In the US, there are concerns regarding the recent trade deal that was signed between Washington and Beijing. The food safety concerns as part of the virus outbreak will undoubtedly lead to less consumption of pork. The effect will be a decrease in demand for soybeans, the main food source for pigs. In 2017 total soybean exports from the US to China reached the $12.2 billion, falling to $3.1 billion in 2018 as part of the trade dispute. Phase one of the recently signed deal committed a combined import of $32 billion of additional agricultural goods for 2020 and 2021, a target that now looks to be ever more unrealistic. Given that China’s economic growth, before the outbreak, was estimated to slip to below 6 percent, concerns on this front have now increased. Some estimates are now stating that during Q1 of 2020 Chinese GDP growth may even fall below 5%. The impact from the virus and the lack of drive for trade activity from China is expected to remain a heavy counterweight for the dry bulk market. The uncertainty regarding how the situation will evolve leaves for very questionable results as to when the market will be able to rebound. The current open tonnage list in the Pacific region has already build up to unsustainable levels, a condition that is hard to shift if China doesn’t manage to take the situation under complete control.
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Monday, 24 February 20
CHINA SAYS MAJOR COAL FIRMS RESTORE 95% OF PRODUCTION CAPACITY - REUTERS
China’s coal companies controlled by the central government have resumed operations and are back at more than 95% of their capacity, an offic ...
Sunday, 23 February 20
SHIPPING INDUSTRY FACES $370 MILLION HIT FROM NEW PANAMA CANAL CHARGE - REUTERS
A new “freshwater” charge that came in this month to help the Panama Canal cope with climate change will cost the shipping industry up ...
Sunday, 23 February 20
A 57,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY SOUTH KALIMANTAN TRIP, REDELIVERY CJK, AT $7,600 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market found little to cheer about this week as it again endured remarkable lows. The Atlantic continued to improve, with ...
Saturday, 22 February 20
THE SURPRISING MOVE IN MARINE FUEL SPREADS - ING
Middle distillates tank
One of the biggest surprises since the implementation of new International Maritime Organization (IMO) sulphur regulati ...
Friday, 21 February 20
CAPE: AVERAGE NOMINAL DAILY EARNINGS STILL ADMITTEDLY UNCHANGED W-O-W AT BELOW US$3000 - FEARNLEYS
CAPE
The worst may just about be over for the big ships. Average nominal daily earnings still admittedly unchanged w-o-w at below US$3k, but sent ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The University of Queensland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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