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Wednesday, 29 January 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Last week Libya’s oil production operations were disrupted as it was reported that local Libyan tribes interrupted output at the the El Feel and Sharara fields and blocked the transportation of crude oil to the Zawiya export terminal. Overall the aforesaid oil fields produce approximately 70,000bpd and 300,00bpd, comprising the nation’s leading producing fields. Particularly, Sharara field is operated by NOC in a joint venture with Spain’s Repsol, France’s Total, Austria’s OMV and Norway’s Equinor and El Feel is operated by the NOC and Italy’s Eni.
Libya’s state oil company has recently professed a force majeure after exports from the eastern ports of Brega, Ras Lanuf, Hariga, Zueitina and Sidra were blocked. Accordingly, this has overall resulted to almost 800,000bp of the total 1.23mbd being cut off from the country’s crude oil output, a figure that could get even smaller. So far, the financial losses are calculated at approximately USD 40 million/day as reported by NOC, with the above disruption being the biggest on record since the September attacks to the Middle East oil facilities.
The knee jerk reaction was an increase of oil prices, which nonetheless failed to last. The fast increase of oil production from non-OPEC producers (United States, Brazil, Guyana, and Norway) together with the recent outbreak of the coronavirus in China, have shifted investors’ expectations in regards to future demand for the commodity and have already pushed oil prices down.
Overall, discussions and concerns are focused on how long Libya’s main export terminals will remain closed for, with Europe being Libya’s largest oil importer. If no quick resolution is provided fuel loadings from the Mediterranean will continue to drop. It is argued that local refineries will source crude from other areas such as the Unites States, Africa and NW Europe. Therefore lengthier hauls of Aframax and Suezmax vessels may be reinforced, while Black Sea loadings could also contest with consumers East of Suez.
Overall, NOC’s declaration of force majeure can allow Libya, which holds Africa’s largest-proven oil reserves, to legally suspend delivery contracts. Having said that, pressure from the negative financial effects on participants will hopefully lead to a resolution of the current turmoil sooner rather than later. Obviously this is a complex political condition with multiple effects and economic impact while the recent Berlin summit tried to take a step closer to achieving peace in the area.
Last week the US Embassy in Libya urged for an immediate reopening of oil production fields in view of risks intensifying the humanitarian emergency in the country. Looking forward, it is challenging to forecast when Libyan crude production will resume. Output and exports may be speedily restored, however if the disruption continues beyond the upcoming refinery maintenance season in Europe, then the market impact will be sizeable and changes in trade flows even more apparent.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 18 January 20
GERMAN STEAM COAL IMPORTS IN 2019 PLUMMETED BY 17 % - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
Press Release: According to preliminary calculations by the German Coal Importers Association (Verein der Kohlenimporteure e. V.), world trade in h ...
Saturday, 18 January 20
A 61,400 DWT FIXED FROM SOUTH EAST ASIA DELIVERY EAST KALIMANTAN REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA IN THE LOW $7,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market was relatively stable over this past week putting an end to the past months of more extreme declines. While the Capesize 5T ...
Friday, 17 January 20
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 65 MMST (9%) TO 690 MMST IN 2019. IN 2020, COAL PRODUCTION WILL DECLINE BY A FURTHER 14% TO 597 MMST
U.S. Coal Supply.
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production declined by 65 million short tons (MMst) (9%) to 690 MMst in 2019. In 2020, EIA ...
Friday, 17 January 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index, a gauge of coal p ...
Thursday, 16 January 20
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA ROUND VOYAGE FIXING AROUND LOW/MID USD 6,000 BSS APS INDO - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Still very rough seas for the big ships, with the majority of the fleet trading Far East or fronthaul and consequently earning far les ...
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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