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Wednesday, 29 January 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Last week Libya’s oil production operations were disrupted as it was reported that local Libyan tribes interrupted output at the the El Feel and Sharara fields and blocked the transportation of crude oil to the Zawiya export terminal. Overall the aforesaid oil fields produce approximately 70,000bpd and 300,00bpd, comprising the nation’s leading producing fields. Particularly, Sharara field is operated by NOC in a joint venture with Spain’s Repsol, France’s Total, Austria’s OMV and Norway’s Equinor and El Feel is operated by the NOC and Italy’s Eni.
Libya’s state oil company has recently professed a force majeure after exports from the eastern ports of Brega, Ras Lanuf, Hariga, Zueitina and Sidra were blocked. Accordingly, this has overall resulted to almost 800,000bp of the total 1.23mbd being cut off from the country’s crude oil output, a figure that could get even smaller. So far, the financial losses are calculated at approximately USD 40 million/day as reported by NOC, with the above disruption being the biggest on record since the September attacks to the Middle East oil facilities.
The knee jerk reaction was an increase of oil prices, which nonetheless failed to last. The fast increase of oil production from non-OPEC producers (United States, Brazil, Guyana, and Norway) together with the recent outbreak of the coronavirus in China, have shifted investors’ expectations in regards to future demand for the commodity and have already pushed oil prices down.
Overall, discussions and concerns are focused on how long Libya’s main export terminals will remain closed for, with Europe being Libya’s largest oil importer. If no quick resolution is provided fuel loadings from the Mediterranean will continue to drop. It is argued that local refineries will source crude from other areas such as the Unites States, Africa and NW Europe. Therefore lengthier hauls of Aframax and Suezmax vessels may be reinforced, while Black Sea loadings could also contest with consumers East of Suez.
Overall, NOC’s declaration of force majeure can allow Libya, which holds Africa’s largest-proven oil reserves, to legally suspend delivery contracts. Having said that, pressure from the negative financial effects on participants will hopefully lead to a resolution of the current turmoil sooner rather than later. Obviously this is a complex political condition with multiple effects and economic impact while the recent Berlin summit tried to take a step closer to achieving peace in the area.
Last week the US Embassy in Libya urged for an immediate reopening of oil production fields in view of risks intensifying the humanitarian emergency in the country. Looking forward, it is challenging to forecast when Libyan crude production will resume. Output and exports may be speedily restored, however if the disruption continues beyond the upcoming refinery maintenance season in Europe, then the market impact will be sizeable and changes in trade flows even more apparent.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 24 February 20
CHINA SAYS MAJOR COAL FIRMS RESTORE 95% OF PRODUCTION CAPACITY - REUTERS
China’s coal companies controlled by the central government have resumed operations and are back at more than 95% of their capacity, an offic ...
Sunday, 23 February 20
SHIPPING INDUSTRY FACES $370 MILLION HIT FROM NEW PANAMA CANAL CHARGE - REUTERS
A new “freshwater” charge that came in this month to help the Panama Canal cope with climate change will cost the shipping industry up ...
Sunday, 23 February 20
A 57,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY SOUTH KALIMANTAN TRIP, REDELIVERY CJK, AT $7,600 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market found little to cheer about this week as it again endured remarkable lows. The Atlantic continued to improve, with ...
Saturday, 22 February 20
THE SURPRISING MOVE IN MARINE FUEL SPREADS - ING
Middle distillates tank
One of the biggest surprises since the implementation of new International Maritime Organization (IMO) sulphur regulati ...
Friday, 21 February 20
CAPE: AVERAGE NOMINAL DAILY EARNINGS STILL ADMITTEDLY UNCHANGED W-O-W AT BELOW US$3000 - FEARNLEYS
CAPE
The worst may just about be over for the big ships. Average nominal daily earnings still admittedly unchanged w-o-w at below US$3k, but sent ...
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The University of Queensland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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