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Friday, 17 January 20
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 65 MMST (9%) TO 690 MMST IN 2019. IN 2020, COAL PRODUCTION WILL DECLINE BY A FURTHER 14% TO 597 MMST
U.S. Coal Supply.
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production declined by 65 million short tons (MMst) (9%) to 690 MMst in 2019. In 2020, EIA expects total U.S. coal production will decline by a further 14% to 597 MMst because of anticipated declines in both exports and domestic consumption in the electric power sector. EIA expects the largest declines in coal production in 2020 will occur in the Western production region. The coal market has undergone significant restructuring in the past year.
EIA also expects coal production will fall by an additional 3% in 2021 to 581 MMst. The slowing declines in production for 2021 are based on EIA’s expectation of modest increases in demand for U.S. exports offset by continuing, albeit slowing, demand declines in the U.S. electric power sector.
U.S. Coal Consumption.
EIA estimates that coal consumption for all sectors totaled 596 MMst in 2019. EIA expects total coal consumption will fall by 65 MMst (11%) in 2020 and by 18 MMst (3%) in 2021. The declines in total consumption of coal closely track those in electric power consumption, which accounted for 91% of all coal consumption in 2019. The decrease in power sector coal consumption in 2020 reflects expected coal plant retirements and increasing shares of electricity generation from low priced natural gas and new renewables generating capacity. However, because EIA expects slight rises in natural gas prices in 2021, coal will become slightly more price competitive.
Coal Trade.
In 2019, coal exports decreased 20% from 2018 to 92 MMst said EIA in latest report. Less favorable market conditions, such as competitive steam coal cargoes from Eastern Europe and high freight costs, contributed to the decline, which was offset somewhat by residual contracts that will expire in 2020. EIA estimates that U.S. coal exports will decrease by 11% in 2020 to 83 MMst and then stabilize near that level in 2021.
Despite EIA’s forecast decline in total U.S. coal exports, shipments to top destinations such as India, Japan, and South Korea, are expected to remain stable. Exports to these three countries accounted for 34% (27 MMst) of the coal exported in 2019 through October. Europe received about 36% of U.S. exports during that period. Although U.S. exports to Europe are mostly metallurgical coal and used predominantly for steel production, U.S. steam coal is still used in Germany, Portugal, and the United Kingdom.
U.S. coal exports to North Africa, particularly Egypt and Morocco, rose 5% compared with the same period in 2018, accounting for 9% of total exports. Comparatively, coal exports to North and South America accounted for 8% and 9% of total coal, respectively.
Coal Prices.
EIA estimates the delivered coal price to U.S. electricity generators averaged $2.05 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2019, which was down slightly from the 2018 price. EIA forecasts that coal prices will increase to $2.10/MMBtu in both 2020 and 2021.
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Tuesday, 17 December 19
BACK TO FUTURE FOR BUSH AS AUSTRALIA CONSIDERS MOVING AWAY FROM COAL NEWCASTLE - HERALD
Looking backwards could show the way forward for regional communities planning for a future beyond mining.
One of Australia’s ...
Tuesday, 17 December 19
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.01 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 133.16 points, down 0.01 percent week on week.
The index, released by China Taiy ...
Tuesday, 17 December 19
YEAR 2019: IT IS LOOKING SET THAT THIS YEAR WILL BE ONE OF THE SLOWEST IN TERMS OF DRY BULK NEWBUILDING ACTIVITY - ALLIED
With just two weeks remaining before 2019 comes to an end, it is now looking set that this year will be one of the slowest in terms of dry bulk new ...
Monday, 16 December 19
ULTRAMAX: A 63,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY FOR A SINGAPORE TRIP VIA INDONESIA, FOR RE-DELIVERY TO CHINA AT $11,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was one-way traffic for the Capesize market this past week, with all routes giving up value. While downward momentum may have slowe ...
Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
- Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
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- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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