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Friday, 17 January 20
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 65 MMST (9%) TO 690 MMST IN 2019. IN 2020, COAL PRODUCTION WILL DECLINE BY A FURTHER 14% TO 597 MMST
U.S. Coal Supply.
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production declined by 65 million short tons (MMst) (9%) to 690 MMst in 2019. In 2020, EIA expects total U.S. coal production will decline by a further 14% to 597 MMst because of anticipated declines in both exports and domestic consumption in the electric power sector. EIA expects the largest declines in coal production in 2020 will occur in the Western production region. The coal market has undergone significant restructuring in the past year.
EIA also expects coal production will fall by an additional 3% in 2021 to 581 MMst. The slowing declines in production for 2021 are based on EIA’s expectation of modest increases in demand for U.S. exports offset by continuing, albeit slowing, demand declines in the U.S. electric power sector.
U.S. Coal Consumption.
EIA estimates that coal consumption for all sectors totaled 596 MMst in 2019. EIA expects total coal consumption will fall by 65 MMst (11%) in 2020 and by 18 MMst (3%) in 2021. The declines in total consumption of coal closely track those in electric power consumption, which accounted for 91% of all coal consumption in 2019. The decrease in power sector coal consumption in 2020 reflects expected coal plant retirements and increasing shares of electricity generation from low priced natural gas and new renewables generating capacity. However, because EIA expects slight rises in natural gas prices in 2021, coal will become slightly more price competitive.
Coal Trade.
In 2019, coal exports decreased 20% from 2018 to 92 MMst said EIA in latest report. Less favorable market conditions, such as competitive steam coal cargoes from Eastern Europe and high freight costs, contributed to the decline, which was offset somewhat by residual contracts that will expire in 2020. EIA estimates that U.S. coal exports will decrease by 11% in 2020 to 83 MMst and then stabilize near that level in 2021.
Despite EIA’s forecast decline in total U.S. coal exports, shipments to top destinations such as India, Japan, and South Korea, are expected to remain stable. Exports to these three countries accounted for 34% (27 MMst) of the coal exported in 2019 through October. Europe received about 36% of U.S. exports during that period. Although U.S. exports to Europe are mostly metallurgical coal and used predominantly for steel production, U.S. steam coal is still used in Germany, Portugal, and the United Kingdom.
U.S. coal exports to North Africa, particularly Egypt and Morocco, rose 5% compared with the same period in 2018, accounting for 9% of total exports. Comparatively, coal exports to North and South America accounted for 8% and 9% of total coal, respectively.
Coal Prices.
EIA estimates the delivered coal price to U.S. electricity generators averaged $2.05 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2019, which was down slightly from the 2018 price. EIA forecasts that coal prices will increase to $2.10/MMBtu in both 2020 and 2021.
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Sunday, 09 February 20
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA STRUGGLED, A 50,000DWT SHIP FIXING A COAL RUN FROM EAST KALIMANTAN TO INDIA AT $2,000 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market endured another dreadful week of calamitous rate level falls, as the usual season low Q1 period combined with rece ...
Friday, 07 February 20
CIL LOOKING TO TAP NON-POWER SECTORS FOR INCREMENTAL COAL, PTI REPORTED
The miner is looking to ramp up production to meet its targets for the current fiscal at a time when the economic slowdown is impacting demand for ...
Friday, 07 February 20
VIRUS - HIT CHINA MAY NEED MORE IMPORTS OF COAL. NOW COMES THE TRICKY PART - SHIPPING IT THERE: REUTERS
China’s domestic coal mines are struggling to ramp up production in the face of the ongoing coronavirus epidemic. That’s a situation th ...
Friday, 07 February 20
CORONAVIRUS IMPACTING THE GLOBAL SHIPPING INDUSTRY - BIMCO
The outbreak of the novel Coronavirus has dented market sentiment and spooked markets around the globe. When China sneezes, we all catch the flu. T ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CAPE: WEAK SUPPLY/DEMAND RATIO THE STREETS REMAIN BLOODY FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Cape: With still a weak supply/demand ratio the streets remain bloody for the big ships, and actual spot earnings are close to zero on main short-h ...
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- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The University of Queensland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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