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Wednesday, 15 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Happy New Year and all the best for IMO 2020 !!
The early days of IMO 2020 coming into force have certainly had an impact on the industry, but so far it seems that those who feared of major problems for global shipping have not been verified and it looks like we have avoided the destructive consequences. Lack of availability of the VLSFO, massive breakdowns of main engines from poor blends, detentions from non-compliance where just some of the warnings and the possible problems that many were expecting, and none of it has happened so far, at least to a widespread extent. It hasn't been smooth, but fortunately there hasn't been any disruption of the world trade.
Unavailability of the fuel which was for a long time the biggest concern does not seem to be an issue; compliant fuels are available and supply will only improve. Also, although it may be too soon to spot a pattern from the incompatibility from the fuel blends, so far there have been no major events.
From the world fleet of thousands of vessels, we have the first reported cases of breaches of compliance with the IMO2020, as the Chinese authorities have caught two vessels for low sulphur fuel violations. There can be fines or detentions but I would guess that it is still too early and the authorities are still a bit lenient on imposing strict penalties.
The biggest problem is the price of the fuel, which is very similar to MGO and very close to the highest levels that the shipowners have ever paid for heavy fuel. This is not entirely an IMO2020 effect, the high oil prices are mostly courtesy of the trade wars, torpedo attacks, air strikes, missile strikes and the other events that sent the oil price to the recent highs. However, the spread between the compliant fuels and the HFO, which is currently getting cheaper, has peaked from $280/mt up to more than $400/mt in some major bunkering ports and the fact is that most owners are experiencing high and uncertain heavy fuel oil price levels.
So this is good news for those owners who rushed to install scrubbers, invested millions and suffered 60 days or more of lost earnings. It's payback time for them as they get better charter rates and see their investment's payback time to get shorter and shorter.
We expect the 0.5% compliant fuel to get increasingly cheaper as more of the product becomes available, refinery inventory builds up, and as more companies and tankers/barges start delivering it. Furthermore, according to news agency Reuters, China has approved a long-awaited tax waiver on exports of the compliant fuel, paving the way for Chinese refiners to boost production of the 0.5%. Although initially shipments will focus on the coastal marine fuel market, this tax waiver will definitely impact both the supply and the price of the VLSFO.
Global shipping is a beast, an enormous organism, that at first seems to be very slow to react, but in fact once again it has proven to be very flexible and relatively quick in adapting. Most shipowners have been operationally well prepared in making the transition smooth and are now ready to focus in the commercial side of things and the shipping market itself.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 18 January 20
BIMCO: LOW-SULPHUR FUEL SALE JUMPS TO A 70% SHARE IN SINGAPORE, AS THE IMO 2020 SULPHUR CAP KICKS IN
The final quarter of 2019 marked a massive decline of HSFO sales, as the industry transitioned into compliance of the IMO 2020 Sulphur Cap (IMO2020 ...
Saturday, 18 January 20
GERMAN STEAM COAL IMPORTS IN 2019 PLUMMETED BY 17 % - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
Press Release: According to preliminary calculations by the German Coal Importers Association (Verein der Kohlenimporteure e. V.), world trade in h ...
Saturday, 18 January 20
A 61,400 DWT FIXED FROM SOUTH EAST ASIA DELIVERY EAST KALIMANTAN REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA IN THE LOW $7,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market was relatively stable over this past week putting an end to the past months of more extreme declines. While the Capesize 5T ...
Friday, 17 January 20
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 65 MMST (9%) TO 690 MMST IN 2019. IN 2020, COAL PRODUCTION WILL DECLINE BY A FURTHER 14% TO 597 MMST
U.S. Coal Supply.
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production declined by 65 million short tons (MMst) (9%) to 690 MMst in 2019. In 2020, EIA ...
Friday, 17 January 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index, a gauge of coal p ...
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- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The University of Queensland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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