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Wednesday, 15 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Happy New Year and all the best for IMO 2020 !!
The early days of IMO 2020 coming into force have certainly had an impact on the industry, but so far it seems that those who feared of major problems for global shipping have not been verified and it looks like we have avoided the destructive consequences. Lack of availability of the VLSFO, massive breakdowns of main engines from poor blends, detentions from non-compliance where just some of the warnings and the possible problems that many were expecting, and none of it has happened so far, at least to a widespread extent. It hasn't been smooth, but fortunately there hasn't been any disruption of the world trade.
Unavailability of the fuel which was for a long time the biggest concern does not seem to be an issue; compliant fuels are available and supply will only improve. Also, although it may be too soon to spot a pattern from the incompatibility from the fuel blends, so far there have been no major events.
From the world fleet of thousands of vessels, we have the first reported cases of breaches of compliance with the IMO2020, as the Chinese authorities have caught two vessels for low sulphur fuel violations. There can be fines or detentions but I would guess that it is still too early and the authorities are still a bit lenient on imposing strict penalties.
The biggest problem is the price of the fuel, which is very similar to MGO and very close to the highest levels that the shipowners have ever paid for heavy fuel. This is not entirely an IMO2020 effect, the high oil prices are mostly courtesy of the trade wars, torpedo attacks, air strikes, missile strikes and the other events that sent the oil price to the recent highs. However, the spread between the compliant fuels and the HFO, which is currently getting cheaper, has peaked from $280/mt up to more than $400/mt in some major bunkering ports and the fact is that most owners are experiencing high and uncertain heavy fuel oil price levels.
So this is good news for those owners who rushed to install scrubbers, invested millions and suffered 60 days or more of lost earnings. It's payback time for them as they get better charter rates and see their investment's payback time to get shorter and shorter.
We expect the 0.5% compliant fuel to get increasingly cheaper as more of the product becomes available, refinery inventory builds up, and as more companies and tankers/barges start delivering it. Furthermore, according to news agency Reuters, China has approved a long-awaited tax waiver on exports of the compliant fuel, paving the way for Chinese refiners to boost production of the 0.5%. Although initially shipments will focus on the coastal marine fuel market, this tax waiver will definitely impact both the supply and the price of the VLSFO.
Global shipping is a beast, an enormous organism, that at first seems to be very slow to react, but in fact once again it has proven to be very flexible and relatively quick in adapting. Most shipowners have been operationally well prepared in making the transition smooth and are now ready to focus in the commercial side of things and the shipping market itself.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 04 February 20
CAPE: THE AVERAGE EARNINGS PER DAY FELL BENEATH THE USD 4,000, A LEVEL CONSIDERABLY BELOW EVEN THE MOST CONSERVATIVE OPEX LEVELS - ALLIED
The recent slump in the dry bulk freight market may well have been expected to some degree, but despite this the shock was still overwhelming when ...
Monday, 03 February 20
KOWEPO INVITING BIDS FOR 2.46 MILLION TONS OF MIN.5700 AND MIN.5600 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea’s Korea Western Power Co., Ltd. (KOWEPO) has issued an international tender for total 2,460,000 tons of (Sub) Bitum ...
Sunday, 02 February 20
NOVEL CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK IN CHINA - STANDARD CLUB
Members will be aware of the recent novel coronavirus outbreak in China, which has now been declared a global emergency by the World Health Organis ...
Sunday, 02 February 20
SUPRAMAX: A 52,000DWT SHIP WAS FIXED BASIS DELIVERY SOUTH KALIMANTAN TRIP TO INDIA, AT $6,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The week proved conspicuous for all the wrong reasons. This was the week when the Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) turned negative, closing ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
50 MILLION PEOPLE QUARANTINED IN CHINA TO CONTAIN SPREAD OF CORONAVIRUS - HOW DOES IT AFFECT SHIPPING? - BIMCO
The outbreak of the novel coronavirus, declared a global health emergency by the WHO, has caused massive uncertainty across the global markets with ...
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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