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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Friday, 06 July 18
HOW FLEET SIZE, CORPORATE PROFILE AND STRATEGY ARE DECIDING FACTORS IN SELECTING AN APPROPRIATE FINANCING STRATEGY - PWC
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The challenges that shipping companies are facing when selecting an appropriate financing strategy during the current per ...
Friday, 06 July 18
INDIA: GOVT TO RELAX CURBS ON INDIAN FIRMS CHARTERING FOREIGN SHIPS - HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The Ministry of Shipping is clearly in reform mode. On the heels of the recent relaxation of the cabotage law, which allows foreign flag vessels to ...
Friday, 06 July 18
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE SPOT COAL PRICES HIT $120 FOR 1ST TIME SINCE 2012 - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have broken through $120 per tonne for the first time since 2012, driven up by strong consumption in Asia and spot m ...
Thursday, 05 July 18
WHAT THE FAILED GLENCORE-TOHOKU COAL TALKS MEAN FOR THE MARKET - REUTERS
Electric utilities in Japan and other Asian countries are driving blind when it comes to coal prices after the failure of Japan’s Tohoku Elec ...
Thursday, 05 July 18
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE HITS 74 MONTHS HIGH OF $104.65 A TON
COALspot.com: HBA keeps rising. According to latest ministerial decree No.1892 K/30/MEM/2018 dated 2 July 2018, the Indonesian Coal Price Reference ...
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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