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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Tuesday, 02 June 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.86 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 123.95 points Monday, down 0.86 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
Monday, 01 June 20
SUPRAMAX: IN SOUTH EAST ASIA RATES TRADED SIDEWAYS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A sober end to the week, with the market seemingly ready for the weekend. After a steady week of rate declines a small flurry of Atlan ...
Friday, 29 May 20
COVID-19: COAL SUPPLY BY CIL TO POWER SECTOR DIPS 22% TO 32 MT IN APRIL DUE TO DEMAND SLUMP - PTI
Over 95% of CIL’s production comes from its 171 open cast mines.
The supply of coal to the power sector by state-owned Coal In ...
Friday, 29 May 20
AUSTRALIA'S NEW HOPE WARNS OF HIT FROM COAL PRICE SLUMP - REUTERS
Australia’s New Hope Corp Ltd said on Thursday that a sudden drop in thermal coal prices and lower output from its Queensland operations woul ...
Friday, 29 May 20
GOVT MAY LAUNCH COAL BLOCKS AUCTION PROCESS UNDER COMMERCIAL MINING ON JUN 11 - PTI
The Centre is likely to launch the process of coal blocks auction under commercial mining on June 11 and around 50 mines are expected to go under t ...
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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