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Friday, 27 December 19
MISERY LOOMS OVER TOP COAL SHIPPERS AS CHINA TO BUY LESS IN 2020 BLOOMBERG
 China isn’t cutting back on consumption of the most-polluting fossil fuel just yet, but it is set to reduce imports.
The world’s biggest coal buyer will likely purchase less from overseas in 2020 after a boost this year, according to analysts. With domestic production rising to a record and overall demand nearing a plateau, miners from top exporters such as Indonesia and Australia will find themselves squeezed.
China’s coal imports have raced ahead in 2019, surprising many who had predicted that the government would strictly clamp down on shipments in the later months just as it did in 2018. With economic growth at its weakest in decades amid a trade war with the U.S., import curbs were eased on the nation’s most-consumed fuel to help mitigate the pain of a slowdown.
Beijing regularly limits coal imports to buttress domestic miners amid a broader campaign to reduce the nation’s reliance on the fuel. Underpinning forecasts for lower imports in 2020 is the outlook for rising domestic supply as China promotes bigger and more efficient mining operations.
“New supply will create a coal glut,” said Michelle Leung, an analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence. That’s likely to cut China’s net imports by 8% in 2020 and hurt profitability of miners in Australia and Indonesia, she added.
China bought 299 million tons of coal for power and steel in the first 11 months, 10% higher than year-ago levels and a record for the period. It’s on course to exceed a 200 million- to 300 million-ton range touted by an industry official as necessary to support domestic miners and maintain balanced trade with exporting nations.
With more local supply to come in 2020, Chinese import controls will be a lasting feature and lead to a 25 million-ton drop in thermal coal purchases next year, Morgan Stanley estimates. The cutback will offset demand growth elsewhere in Asia, and seaborne prices may extend a slump to average $66 a ton from about $79 in 2019, the bank said.
For a country that burns and produces half the world’s coal, the strength of China’s import curbs may vary depending on the government’s competing priorities of protecting domestic miners and power plants. Utilities will face added pressure from January when market reforms are expected to result in lower electricity prices, which may hit their bottom line.
“The government wants to boost the economy any way it can, and a good way to do that is to let generators get the cheapest coal,” said James Stevenson, global director for coal research at IHS Markit Ltd. “At the same time, it doesn’t want imported coal risking domestic mining jobs.”
Market Revamp
Zeng Hao, an analyst at Fenwei Energy Information Services Co., is among the few expecting China to further relax its grip on coal imports in 2020 as policy makers would be disinclined to intervene in “market-based activity” amid the slowing economy, he said.
Economists surveyed by Bloomberg this month expect China’s top leadership to set the target for economic growth at “about 6%” for 2020, which implies a continuation of the growth slowdown. The goal for this year is 6% to 6.5%.
Given the oversupply in China’s coal market, domestic prices are likely to remain at low levels next year, said Zhai Yu, a senior consultant at Wood Mackenzie Ltd. based in Beijing. That will reduce the attractiveness of overseas cargoes.
Spot coal at the main Qinhuangdao port is at a three-year low of 543 yuan a ton. A slide toward 500 yuan could motivate the government to step up restrictions on imports, he said.
Source: Bloomberg
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Thursday, 19 December 19
BANGLADESH'S NBR CUTS VAT ON COAL IMPORT FOR POWER PLANTS - THE DAILY STAR
The National Board of Revenue (NBR) reduced value added tax on the import of coal for power plants to 5 percent from present 15 percent for five ye ...
Wednesday, 18 December 19
AVERAGE PRICES OF COAL IN 2018 WERE MORE THAN 60% HIGHER THAN IN 2016 - IEA
Coal use grew again in 2018.
Global coal demand increased by 1.1%, continuing the rebound that began in 2017 after three years of decline ...
Wednesday, 18 December 19
ASIA IS SET TO SUPPORT GLOBAL COAL DEMAND FOR THE NEXT FIVE YEARS - IEA
Press Release: Global coal demand is expected to decline in 2019 but remain broadly stable over the next five years, supported by robust growth in ...
Wednesday, 18 December 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we all know very well by now, the reduction in the maximum allowable sulphur content of marine fuels in 2020 is likely to have a massive impact ...
Tuesday, 17 December 19
AUSTRALIA ENERGY MARKET OPERATOR TURNS SCROOGE ON COAL LOBBY: RUSSELL
Australia, which vies with Indonesia for the title of the world’s largest coal exporter, is planning for an electricity future where use of t ...
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The University of Queensland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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