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Thursday, 26 December 19
REVIEW OF 2019 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2020 - OPEC
 Global economic growth slowed in 2019, impacted by a variety of challenges. Trade issues not only led to reduction in global final consumption but also caused investment growth to decelerate. On the positive side, global trade slowdown has likely bottomed out, and now the negative trend in industrial production seen in 2019 is expected to reverse in 2020. As a result, global economic growth is forecast at 3.0% for both 2019 and 2020.
Recent progress on various trade agreements such as the conclusion of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership of Asian-Pacific nations may provide the base to re-energize the momentum in global trade, although challenges remain, particularly regarding ongoing trade talks between the US and its trade partners, particularly China.
While global monetary policies continue to be accommodative, high debt levels in many major economies represent some risk. Additional challenges are posed by fiscal issues in few EU Member Countries, Brexit, and Japan’s ongoing slowdown. Fiscal imbalances in emerging and developing economies may also have a negative effect on global economic growth, while recent social unrest in some economies may add more downward pressure.
Global oil demand is projected to rise by 0.98 mb/d in 2019, mainly due to cooling macro-economic indicators in major economies. Oil demand in the OECD is projected to grow by a marginal 0.02 mb/d in 2019, due to slowerthan-expected demand in the Americas and Asia Pacific. Weaker-than-expected diesel requirements in the US amid the slower pace in manufacturing and construction activity have limited demand growth in the current year. In Asia Pacific, significant petrochemical plant turnarounds reduced demand for petrochemical feedstock in 1H19. In non-OECD oil demand in 2019 is anticipated to rise by 0.96 mb/d, primarily as a result of slower-than-expected demand in India due to reduced industrial and transportation fuel requirements in 2Q19 and 3Q19. In 2020, global oil demand is expected to grow by 1.08 mb/d, with the OECD growing by 0.07 mb/d. OECD Americas is anticipated to be the only OECD region in positive demand growth territory next year, supported mainly by petrochemical capacity additions. In the non-OECD region, oil demand growth is projected to be around 1.01 mb/d, with growth projected to improve in Other Asia, Latin America and the Middle East. Indeed, the transportation and petrochemical sectors are expected to continue leading oil demand growth in 2020.
On the supply side, non-OPEC oil supply growth in 2019 has been lower than initial market expectations, now standing at 1.82 mb/d compared to the initial projection of 2.10 mb/d in July 2018. Weaker-thanexpected growth in Canada, Brazil, Norway, Kazakhstan, China and Russia has been the key contributor to the downward revision, despite the betterthan-expected performance of US liquids supply. US oil output is leading this growth with 1.62 mb/d in 2019. In 2020, non-OPEC supply is expected to see a continued slowdown in growth on the back of decreased investment and lower drilling activities in US tight oil. Non-OPEC supply is now forecast to grow by 2.17 mb/d in 2020, representing a downward revision of around 0.27 mb/d from initial forecasts in July 2019 on the back of downward revisions in US oil supply. Nevertheless, Graph 2: World oil demand and non-OPEC supply revisions from initial forecast in 2019 and 2020 incremental production from the US tight plays, particularly in the Permian Basin, as well as from offshore fields in Norway, Brazil, Australia and possibly Guyana, will contribute to the non-OPEC supply in 2020.
Evidently, significant and successful effort of countries participating in the Declaration of Cooperation (DoC) have helped the global oil market to remain relatively balanced in 2019. Going forward, countries participating in the DoC reaffirmed their continuing commitment to oil market stability as they have decided this month to adjust production further by another 500 tb/d, adding to the previous adjustment of 1.2 mb/d, and now totalling to 1.7 mb/d as of January 2020. This is to stabilize the market in the interests of both consumers and producers, as well as the wellbeing of the global economy.
Source: OPEC
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Saturday, 11 January 20
BALTIC BRIEFING TANKER REPORT - WEEK 2
VLCC
Escalating tensions between the USA and Iran, in addition to a continuing strong market, made for an interesting week, with rates firming ...
Saturday, 11 January 20
SUPRAMAX: INDONESIA COAL RUNS, A 58,000DWT SHIP WAS RUMOURED FIXED DELIVERY KALIMANTAN, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, IN THE $4,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Closing out the first full trading week of 2020, the Capesize market is struggling to gain any solid positive upward traction. Opening ...
Friday, 10 January 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE REMAINS FLAT - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price remains flat
China’s benchmark power coal price remained flat during the past week.
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Thursday, 09 January 20
NEW IMO LIFEBOAT REQUIREMENTS ENTER INTO FORCE - STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Three new compulsory IMO resolutions entered into force on 1 January 2020. These resolutions deal with the maintenance, t ...
Thursday, 09 January 20
INDIA'S NEW EASED MINING RULES TO ENHANCE FOREIGN PARTICIPATION IN COAL SECTOR: MINISTER
India’s cabinet has eased mining laws in a bid to attract foreign players to the domestic coal sector and reduce imports of the fuel, coal mi ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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