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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Monday, 21 October 19
COAL TO PLAY SIGNIFICANT ROLE IN SOUTH AFRICA POWER MIX - MINISTER, REUTERS REPORTED
South Africa’s plans for additional power generation over the next decade will involve a variety of energy sources, with coal still playing a ...
Monday, 21 October 19
ULTRAMAX: IN ASIA, TRIPS FROM THE SINGAPORE AREA WERE PAYING BETWEEN $14,000 AND $16,000, DEPENDING ON THE VESSEL SIZE AND DURATION - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market traded in a relatively stable supported manner in the Pacific this week while the Atlantic experienced weakening turbulence ...
Friday, 18 October 19
WHY CRUDE TANKER RATES JUST FELL (HALFWAY) BACK TO EARTH - FREIGHT WAVES
Panic drove crude-tanker rates up, very briefly, to mind-bogglingly high assessed levels of around $300,000 per day. Now, the fear factor has been ...
Friday, 18 October 19
SHORT TERM STRENGTH FOR OZ COMMODITIES - BALTIC BRIEFING
Volatility in the global commodity markets is not expected to unduly rattle Australia’s commodity outlook through 2020, but the 2021 picture ...
Friday, 18 October 19
SINGAPORE'S APEX TO LAUNCH LOW-SULFUR FUEL OIL CONTRACT AHEAD OF NEW SHIPPING RULES - REUTERS
Singapore-based Asia Pacific Exchange (APEX) will launch a low-sulfur fuel oil (LSFO) futures contract on Friday aimed at helping shipping and ener ...
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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