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Wednesday, 27 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, one could say that the wet market has maintained the strong pace observed during the third quarter and will probably prove right those market specialists that predicted that tanker rates would be soaring coming into 2020 with the “IMO effect” ready to kick in.
The million dollar question is if this firm market recovery (both in asset prices as well as freight rates) is the beginning of a new cycle. What definitely helped boost earnings was the recent sanctions imposed by the USA to the Chinese Cosco tanker fleet that abruptly removed a significant amount of ships from the market and inevitably pushed the market to the recent highs. COSCO Dalian and its subsidiaries own 43 oil tankers, including 26 very large crude carriers (VLCCs) which consist over 3% of the VLCC fleet.
Despite the sanctions, the fundamental drive in this increase is still the coming IMO regulations that as many analysts predicted triggered an incremental move of cargoes from the desulphurization units towards major bunkering areas. Opportunities for profit were also created for traders finding market imbalances deriving from the shock of new regulations and the need to create a “new” mainstream fuel. It therefore seems that what we have been witnessing is not just a short lived spike but the start of the “IMO story”, which will be in full effect the first half of 2020.
On the Dry market, the BDI has been extremely volatile throughout the year, shifting sentiment several times as a result. The year kicked in with a steep decline amidst fears of the US-China trade talks, the Vale dam disaster and seasonal Chinese New Year celebrations declines.
Most feared 2019 could be a repeat of the lows observed back in 2016, while during Q1 we observed an SNP drought with only 103 bulk carriers changing hands. However, during the second quarter the market stabilized and increased steadily along with the feeling that the worst part of the year was already over and hopes for a rebound came along, with SNP transactions increasing to 137. The third quarter was overwhelming; freight rates increased rapidly and helped most companies return to the black, while more ships changed hands and transactions totaled 166. So when the last quarter begun, sentiment was firm and freights were high, while the majority of the industry was prepared for a very strong finish to the year.
To the surprise of most, the positive sentiment that prevailed during the past summer is currently questioned by the performance of the BDI and uncertainty over the new regulations has become a growing concern for dry bulk owners. Consequently, one would expect transactions to decline. However, SNP activity remained strong, with more than 85 transactions already confirmed half way into this quarter, while the majority of them was concluded to Greek owners, which itself constitutes a vote of confidence on an imminent rebound of the market sooner rather than later.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 26 January 24
HARD COAL GUARDIAN ANGEL OF THE ENERGY SUPPLY - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
- No security of supply without hard coal
- The Substitute Power Plant Provision Act (EKBG) must be extended
- Higher grid fees due to the ...
Thursday, 25 January 24
THE RED SEA ESCALATION IMPLICATIONS ON GLOBAL SEABORNE TRADE - MARIA BERTZELETOU
In recent days, discussions have intensified about the potential impact on the seaborne trade and ton-miles due to the evolving dynamics of market ...
Thursday, 25 January 24
RED SEA SHIPPING DISRUPTIONS KEEP GEOPOLITICAL PREMIUM FOR COMMODITIES - FITCH RATINGS
Shipping disruptions and re-routing away from the Red Sea will maintain the geopolitical premium in the main commodity markets, including for oil a ...
Friday, 19 January 24
INDONESIA TARGETS 710 MLN METRIC TONS COAL OUTPUT IN 2024 AFTER RECORD 2023 - REUTERS
Indonesia, a major thermal coal exporter, aims to produce 710 million metric tons of coal in 2024, its mining minister said on Monday, after postin ...
Friday, 19 January 24
DRUMMOND COLOMBIA COAL OUTPUT ROSE 7.1% IN 2023 - REUTERS
Coal production from miner Drummond’s Colombia operations rose 7.1% in 2023 to 29.5 million metric tons, while exports declined by 2.6% to 27 ...
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Showing 26 to 30 news of total 6846 |
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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