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Wednesday, 27 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL

As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, one could say that the wet market has maintained the strong pace observed during the third quarter and will probably prove right those market specialists that predicted that tanker rates would be soaring coming into 2020 with the “IMO effect” ready to kick in.
The million dollar question is if this firm market recovery (both in asset prices as well as freight rates) is the beginning of a new cycle. What definitely helped boost earnings was the recent sanctions imposed by the USA to the Chinese Cosco tanker fleet that abruptly removed a significant amount of ships from the market and inevitably pushed the market to the recent highs. COSCO Dalian and its subsidiaries own 43 oil tankers, including 26 very large crude carriers (VLCCs) which consist over 3% of the VLCC fleet.
Despite the sanctions, the fundamental drive in this increase is still the coming IMO regulations that as many analysts predicted triggered an incremental move of cargoes from the desulphurization units towards major bunkering areas. Opportunities for profit were also created for traders finding market imbalances deriving from the shock of new regulations and the need to create a “new” mainstream fuel. It therefore seems that what we have been witnessing is not just a short lived spike but the start of the “IMO story”, which will be in full effect the first half of 2020.
On the Dry market, the BDI has been extremely volatile throughout the year, shifting sentiment several times as a result. The year kicked in with a steep decline amidst fears of the US-China trade talks, the Vale dam disaster and seasonal Chinese New Year celebrations declines.
Most feared 2019 could be a repeat of the lows observed back in 2016, while during Q1 we observed an SNP drought with only 103 bulk carriers changing hands. However, during the second quarter the market stabilized and increased steadily along with the feeling that the worst part of the year was already over and hopes for a rebound came along, with SNP transactions increasing to 137. The third quarter was overwhelming; freight rates increased rapidly and helped most companies return to the black, while more ships changed hands and transactions totaled 166. So when the last quarter begun, sentiment was firm and freights were high, while the majority of the industry was prepared for a very strong finish to the year.
To the surprise of most, the positive sentiment that prevailed during the past summer is currently questioned by the performance of the BDI and uncertainty over the new regulations has become a growing concern for dry bulk owners. Consequently, one would expect transactions to decline. However, SNP activity remained strong, with more than 85 transactions already confirmed half way into this quarter, while the majority of them was concluded to Greek owners, which itself constitutes a vote of confidence on an imminent rebound of the market sooner rather than later.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 16 September 19
COLOMBIAN COAL PRODUCTION TO FALL 5% THIS YEAR, MINING GROUP SAYS - REUTERS
Colombia’s coal production will decline to around 80 million tonnes in 2019, nearly 5% below last year’s, because of low prices and dro ...
Monday, 16 September 19
THE COAL-D SHOULDER? - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Good fortune and the number 13 don’t usually go hand in hand, but when it comes to coal, 2013 actually seems to have been the commodity&rsquo ...
Monday, 16 September 19
SCRUBBERS AND FUEL PROFIT SHARE CLAUSES - CLYDE&CO
From 1 January 2020, Regulation 14 of MARPOL Annex VI provides that the sulphur content in fuel oil used on board ships shall be reduced from a max ...
Monday, 16 September 19
KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER INVITES BIDS FOR MAX 1,290,000 METRIC TONS OF STEAMING COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea’s Korea East-West Power Co. Ltd has issued an international tender for total 1,290,000 Metric Tons steam coal.
...
Sunday, 15 September 19
SUPRAMAX / ULTRAMAX: MORE STEMS WERE NOTICED GOING TO VIETNAM FROM INDONESIA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Overall it was a negative week for the Capesize market, with many routes losing ground. A limited amount of time charter appeare ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
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