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Wednesday, 20 November 19
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS IN COMMERCIAL COAL MINING IN INDIA? - DIPESH DIPU
 In August 2019, Government of India announced its approval for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for coal mining, processing and sale. Not that FDI in coal mining sector was new, but novelty in that was that government now permitted foreign ownership of coal mines for commercial sale of coal produced from such mines. He justifications provided by government sources included need for competition in a sector that has been traditionally dominated by government-owned companies Coal India Limited and Singareni Collieries Company Limited; need for enhanced production as here has been shortfall in meeting demand; and, need for newer technologies that may bring in sustainability to coal mining. These indeed are commendable objectives and opening up the sector for foreign participation may certainly be considered a step in the right direction. However, public policy needs to be grounded in realism, and the reality of attractiveness of commercial coal mining in India does not bode well for foreign participation.
The response of government-owned companies for coal blocks on offer for allotment for commercial coal mining was announced in early August 2019 provides the evidence. Nine coal blocks were put on offer for sale of coal in markets and the eligibility for these were restricted to government-owned companies including the state government-owned ones. There were, however, only three coal blocks[1] that received applications by NMDC Limited, Jharkhand State Mineral Development Corporation and Madhya Pradesh State Mining Corporation. This lukewarm response may indicate towards the market sentiments for commercial coal mining in India. It must also be considered here that the coal blocks for allotment for government-owned companies do not have the two-stage auction based bidding for winning the blocks and, thus, the pay-out required to win these coal blocks may be lower in comparison to coal blocks put out for auctions. So, even with lower additional pay-out to government in the form of premium the coal blocks have not found many takers. There may be several underlying economic reasons, which are amplified for foreign participants, and thus, require consideration to evaluate if this approval for FDI in commercial coal mining would have any impact and if it would meet its stated objectives.
The first and the foremost is the economic feasibility of these mines. The foreign, and indeed any private company, would have to participate in auction process for winning a coal block, and commit to a competitive premium to access the resources. This has been an impediment for private sector participation in India, given the evidence of coal blocks awarded for captive consumption in power and non-regulated sectors that include cement, steel and other approved end users. There seems to be some sanity dawning on participants on these auction with every successive rounds of auction, seen from the lower winning premiums, and hence, it may be expected that the trend may continue. Nonetheless, the premium will certainly erode the margins for commercial miners, the extent of this erosion would be a function of degree of competition for the coal blocks. The margins are also likely to be uncertain in view of the price volatility of coal, which in Indian market is pegged with CIL price and a certain premium that reflects typically the discount that IL prices tend to have over energy-equivalent international prices. This uncertainty of prices is likely to be confounded by the uncertainty in demand-supply gap that these commercial miners are required to fulfil. There has been a shortfall in supply in the recent past, evident from the rise in coal imports in the last two years even with the stated objective of the government to reduce coal imports. This may present itself as an opportunity. However, the question is whether this shortfall is likely to sustain, and thus, create a marketplace for commercial miners. With a slump in thermal power generation and nearly absent pipeline of new coal based projects, this assumption may be quite a big one to make and decide in favour of making foreign direct investment in Indian coal mining.
Other important risks pertain to project execution. There have been several impediments in coal mining project implementations, such as procurement of licenses and permits, acquisition of land and rehabilitation and resettlement of project affected people. These, apart from the procedural challenges, involve risk of reputation. Business practices on all these accounts in mining sector have often been marred with controversies and have led to perceptions of externalities in these processes having significant influence on the outcomes. Foreign participants in Indian mining have been wary of these, and hence, have had little success to show even though they have had offices and a few exploration and contract mining projects in India. Apart from reputation, the risks in procurement of licenses and land acquisition create the risks of project delays, which may then translate into cost escalations, thereby impacting project economics. Coal mining projects may have such challenges in attracting foreign direct investment.
There are challenges of talent shortage and financing as well. Innovative technologies that the foreign miners are likely to bring in India will require high quality geo-statisticians, geologists, mine planners and mining engineers. India does produce graduates in these areas of study but quantities do no necessarily reflect quality, which are further compounded by the brain drain of talent into other industries, primarily, information technology. Mining industry in general, and coal mining in particular, has not been able to retain relent in the last decade or so, with advent of opportunities for the smart geoscientists and engineers in alternate industries. Foreign mining companies may find this crippling.
There are challenges in financing too. Coal mining projects may have been good candidates for resource-based financing, but that has not happened on account of several factors, not the least of those being dominance of government-owned companies priding themselves on debt-free balance sheets, and the quality of geological information that may be inferior to global standards. The market for debt for coal mining then often reduces itself to equipment financing with the equipment being securitised to the lenders. Globally preferred model of equipment leasing is still in its relatively early stages of comprehension and acceptance in Indian mining. With limited options of raising finances, the higher degree of equity investments may also be a deterrent for foreign investors as the may have comparable projects competing for scarce capital.
Coal mining industry has been on a downward spiral globally. Foreign large miners have divested or are divesting their stakes in coal projects. Global bankers have committed themselves to not financing coal and coal based power projects. Insurance companies are shying away from coal projects too. The ecosystem for coal mining project execution is dying. Epitaphs are being written on coal and its demise is predicted by governments, investors and policy analysts wold over. But for the coal addiction of Asia, China and India in particular, the demise may have been sooner. Under such gloomy outlook for the industry, with coal mining companies filing for bankruptcies frequently, it would be tough to get these foreign companies to look at Indian destinations favourably. An industry staring at terminal decline may not witness new investors, and old ones that may have been facing severe challenges in their home countries to look out for opportunities in India.
Optimism at this point of time of foreign miners participating in Indian coal mining sector, that presents a challenging business environment, may be misplaced. Only when the government calls for applications for coal blocks for sale of coal with permitted participation for foreign direct investment that the final picture shall emerge.
By Dipesh Dipu
Energy, Natural Resources and Infrastructure Expert
This article originaly published on economictimes and Linkedin
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Friday, 22 November 19
FORTY PERCENT OF ADARO'S COAL SALES VOLUME IN 9M19 GOES TO THE SOUTHEAST ASIA REGION
PT Adaro Energy Tbk released its consolidated financial statements yesterday, for the nine month period, ending September 30, 2019.
...
Friday, 22 November 19
UNCERTAINTY IN THERMAL COAL MARKET PERSISTED IN 3Q19 - ADARO
Uncertainty in thermal coal market persisted in 3Q19, mainly due to the actions, or inactions, of China in setting policies for global coal market. ...
Friday, 22 November 19
CIL TO DEVELOP 55 NEW COAL MINES IN NEXT 5 YEARS: COAL MINISTER
State-owned CIL will develop 55 new coal mines and expand 193 existing ones in the next five years, Parliament was informed. The company is also un ...
Thursday, 21 November 19
4TH DEEP OFFSHORE WEST AFRICA CONGRESS 2020
4th Deep Offshore West Africa Congress 2020
17 Janaury 2020
Accra, Ghana
Press Release: Following the great succ ...
Thursday, 21 November 19
INDONESIA PLANS TO KEEP $70/T COAL PRICE CAP FOR PLN, DMO - REUTERS
Indonesia’s energy minister Arifin Tasrif said his ministry plans to maintain a price cap on coal being sold to state electricity utility, PT ...
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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