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Tuesday, 07 May 19
UNDOUBTEDLY A VERY TROUBLED YEAR FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, SAYS ALLIED SHIPPING
 Undoubtedly a very troubled year for the dry bulk market says Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping says, at the end of 2018, we were noting strong levels of optimism and bullish sentiment for the year that lay ahead, especially when given the overall recovery that had been noted in 2018 and 2017, whilst most core index figures finished at relatively good levels. Given these positive trends, for most, 2019 was set to also be a year of general upward momentum, inline somehow with the perceived perception that fundamentals were still improving and there would be more balanced and sustainable dynamics witnessed in the market. Even for those that held a more conservative view as to how things would transpire, few would have called the steepness of the downward correction noted, the increased volatility or the continuous shifts in sentiment that characterize the current market.
After more than 3 months of being stuck in the doldrums, Thomas Chasapis says, with volatility rising for the first quarter of this year by 178% compared to the same time frame back in 2018 (using standard deviation), we finally saw the BDI pass above the 1,000 basis point mark once more (a point last held at the end of January). Even if you consider this recovery to be momentary and driven mainly by the recovery noted in the Capesize segment, it still represents a huge “breather” for the overall dry sector.
Taking this last point, it is interesting to see the BCI trends of late in more detail. The BCI time charter average closed on Friday at US$ 11,182/day, while just a month prior, it had reached its lowest level (since 2016) of 3,460 US$/day, as such placing the recovery gain in the region of 223% in almost 1 month. If this doesn’t sound so impressive, the BCI index made an even more impressive jump, going from a low point of 92 basis points at the very start of April, up to 1,290 points (14 times higher!).
Furthermore, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping noted that, adding a taste of forward sentiment coming through the paper market, a considerable boost was noted not only for FFA contracts for this year, but also for the calendar years of 2020 and 2021. Notwithstanding this, there is still a fair bit of road ahead before we start witnessing any sort of rebalancing in this segment. The turmoil derived from the Vale incident a few months back continues to shake the market, while now, given that most parties involved are now in the process of adapting to the new market realities, we can expect huge levels of volatility and asymmetries for the rest of the year (at least). Moreover, even if we assume an increase in demand for iron ore in the near term and that it will be absorbed completely by the other main exporters (such as Australia), we will still be left with a tremendous gap in tonne-miles which will continue to add an excessive amount of negative pressure on freight rates.
All-in-all, while leaving aside the rather mediocre state being portrayed right now in the dry bulk sector in terms of earnings, the point that troubles most is the overall feeling of uncertainty surrounding the market. Moreover, given a potential 25% levy to be imposed in US imports from China by this Friday as mentioned by President Trump’s tweets on Sunday, it is obvious that we will continue to face random and unpredictable shocks, with tremendous consequences to the overall state of the freight market. With all being said, even under good and strong fundamentals (i.e. balanced supply-demand dynamics), it is very difficult at this point to make any confident assumptions as to what direction the market will take next, even on a short-term basis.
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Friday, 12 April 19
U.S : MORE THAN 7 GW OF COAL-FIRED GENERATION IS SCHEDULED TO RETIRE BY THE END OF 2020 - EIA
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production decreased by 19 million short tons (MMst) (2%) in 2018, totaling 756 MMst.
EIA also expects ...
Friday, 12 April 19
GLENCORE WINS $520 MILLION DEAL TO SELL COAL TO MEXICO - REUTERS
Global trader Glencore has won contracts worth around $520 million to supply 4.94 million tonnes of coal to Mexico, state-run power utility the Fed ...
Thursday, 11 April 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL IN THE FRONTLINE OF CHINA'S SUPPLY GLUT - AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW
Australian coal will be hardest hit as China cuts foreign imports of its key energy source to tackle oversupply, and implements policies favouring ...
Wednesday, 10 April 19
COALTRANS ASIA - TAKE PART IN THE LARGEST COAL EVENT IN THE WORLD!
Take part in the largest coal event in the world!
Coaltrans Asia is back this June bringing together the entire international coal s ...
Wednesday, 10 April 19
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 160K MT OF MIN. 3700 NCV COAL FOR JUNE LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 160,000 MT of min. 3,800 Kcal/kg ~max.4,100 ...
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Showing 1421 to 1425 news of total 6871 |
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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