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Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. The BDI index decreased by around 50% from mid-December until the end of January and moved to the ytd low of 595 points on 11 February. Although a moderate drop was expected – having become a “seasonal phenomenon”, with subsequent losses before and during the Chinese lunar year – the magnitude of the decline in rates and indexes was largely unexpected. Moreover, the extended Capesize weakness continues to keep the BDI below 700 points despite the fact that earnings for the rest of the sizes have substantially recovered in the past weeks.
As was expected, in a period of three months with low freight rates, asset prices were also affected. However, naturally, the decrease on assets did not equal the decline of the freight rates. In the Capesize sector, it is notable that within the first quarter of 2019, there were no SnP transactions. Owners of the specific segment, despite having witnessed a dramatic fall in rates are so far showing resistance.
In the Panamax sector, the ‘TAURUS OCEAN’ (78,819dwt-blt ’08, Japan) was sold last November for a price in the region of $14.5m, while a few days ago it was reported that the ‘ATLAS B’ (76,554dwt-blt ’08, Japan), was sold for a price in the region of $12.1m, similarly resulting to a 17% decrease.
The smaller decline of asset prices can be observed in Supramaxes of around 10 years old. The ‘OCEAN COLOSSUS’ (58,831dwt-blt ’10, Japan), was sold at end of December for a price in the region of $15.5m, while her identical sister ‘KOREAN LILY’ (58,713dwt-blt ’10, Japan), was sold two weeks ago for a price in the region of $14.2m, indicating only a 8% decrease.
There is greater asset price elasticity for Handysizes than that observed in Supramaxes. Indicatively, the ‘ASIAN BEAUTY’ (28,218dwt-blt ’11, Japan) was sold last November for a price in the region of $9.5m, while a sister vessel, the ‘TOKOMARU BAY’ (28,258dwt-blt ’11, Japan), was committed a few days ago for a price in the region of $8.2m, indicating a 14% decrease.
It should be noted that the aforementioned comparisons are indicative and do not accurately represent the exact asset price decreases across segments. They do, nevertheless, offer us an indication of the underlying pricing trends, coupled with how prices fared in the past few months.
The slow market recovery to pre-Christmas levels or similar, does not seem to be creating such a big concern in the SnP market. Despite the discounted rates, SnP activity remains elevated overall even though sellers have shown greater than expected resistance. There appears to be a positive sentiment generally, resulting in many ship-owners buying low or replacing older tonnage with more modern units. All in all, there is some optimism that there will be an increase of freight rates in q2 and q3, as indicated by charterers asking for vessels for period charters in far better levels compared to the spot market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 11 December 18
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 10.849 MMT OF COAL IN NOVEMBER DOWN 23.44 PERCENT MOM
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading port and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped A$ 1,574.8 mil ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
IN THE EAST, BIGGER SUPRA WAS FIXED CA US$ 10K FOR INDO-CHINA COAL ROUND - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
There is cautious optimism for the Capes, with healthier volumes and improving rates in the Pacific. West Australia round is gradually ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
U.S. COAL CONSUMPTION IN 2018 EXPECTED TO BE THE LOWEST IN 39 YEARS - EIA
EIA expects total U.S. coal consumption in 2018 to fall to 691 million short tons (MMst), a 4% decline from 2017 and the lowest level since 1979. U ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings say ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
CHINA REVISES MANAGEMENT RULES ON ESTABLISHMENT OF FULLY FOREIGN-OWNED SHIPPING BUSINESSES - XINHUA
Foreign shipping companies will find it easier to establish wholly-owned subsidiaries in China thanks to a revised regulation due to take effect on ...
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The University of Queensland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
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